Fri, Jan 15, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 65% of the time.
57%
9%
26%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:22 | 0.18 | 50.6% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 23:22 | 0.10 | 34.2% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 23:05 | 0.53 | 47.9% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 21:44 | 0.03 | 22.2% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:14 | 0.03 | 57.7% | +23.9 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:20 | 0.47 | 39.4% | +16.3 |
 Jake MuzzinD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:40 | 0.13 | 65.2% | 0.0 |
 Joe ThorntonC · #97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:09 | 0.13 | 61.9% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.00 | 42.3% | +16.3 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15:57 | 0.43 | 64.0% | +20.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:49 | 0.22 | 41.6% | +23.9 |
 Ilya MikheyevRW · #65 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:40 | 0.03 | 32.6% | +23.9 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.00 | 41.1% | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:51 | 0.00 | 42.8% | 0.0 |
 Jimmy VeseyLW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:25 | 0.00 | 64.0% | 0.0 |
 Wayne SimmondsRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 10:03 | 0.31 | 21.0% | 0.0 |
 Jason SpezzaC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:34 | 0.02 | 13.9% | 0.0 |
 Alexander BarabanovLW · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:19 | 0.00 | 11.2% | 0.0 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | L | 24 | 19 | 5 | .792 | 2.89 | −2.1 | 57:20 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 3 | 27:12 | 0.17 | 66.2% | +20.4 |
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 21:35 | 0.01 | 70.1% | +38.3 |
 Erik GudbransonD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:51 | 0.18 | 48.4% | 0.0 |
 Connor BrownRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:20 | 0.00 | 28.8% | 0.0 |
 Chris TierneyC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:31 | 0.20 | 38.4% | +14.1 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 17:08 | 0.30 | 80.7% | +24.6 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 16:53 | 1.52 | 92.5% | +42.5 |
 Derek StepanC · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:28 | 0.32 | 70.2% | +4.2 |
 Josh NorrisC · #9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 16:07 | 0.00 | 39.8% | +44.5 |
 Christian WolaninD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:50 | 0.03 | 48.6% | 0.0 |
 Evgenii DadonovLW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:31 | 0.12 | 26.7% | 0.0 |
 Braydon CoburnD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.11 | 64.7% | +21.4 |
 Nick PaulLW · #13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:27 | 0.11 | 44.3% | +21.4 |
 Joshua BrownD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:21 | 0.00 | 58.1% | 0.0 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.08 | 19.0% | 0.0 |
 Austin WatsonLW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:04 | 0.18 | 58.1% | +21.4 |
 Cedric PaquetteC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:11 | 0.18 | 52.8% | 0.0 |
 Artem AnisimovC · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:17 | 0.04 | 59.1% | 0.0 |
 Matt Murray#30 | W | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 2.59 | −0.4 | 59:42 |