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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 15, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 66% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Ottawa Senators

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Thomas ChabotD · #72022+2127:580.0747.2%+60.4
Nikita ZaitsevD · #22000+1022:420.0047.0%0.0
Erik GudbransonD · #440000219:470.0623.4%0.0
Tim StützleC · #18011+1319:410.2329.8%+12.8
Derek StepanC · #21000+1018:310.0011.8%0.0
Connor BrownRW · #281120218:250.2949.2%+18.4
Mike ReillyD · #50000018:150.0035.8%0.0
Nick PaulLW · #13112+2218:050.3740.0%+49.0
Evgenii DadonovLW · #63202+2317:460.4351.2%+86.4
Brady TkachukLW · #70110416:440.6737.0%+39.2
Josh NorrisC · #9011+1216:410.1349.3%+39.2
Colin WhiteC · #36011+1116:250.1257.9%+13.2
Christian WolaninD · #24000−1115:460.0122.1%0.0
Drake BathersonRW · #191010114:440.0924.6%+12.8
Chris TierneyC · #71011−1212:370.1933.2%+5.2
Artem ZubD · #2101+1312:140.2553.9%+5.2
Artem AnisimovC · #51000−138:480.1644.7%0.0
Austin WatsonLW · #16011−118:430.1135.9%+1.8
Marcus Hogberg#1W38335.8684.24−0.861:47

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #440110025:240.0166.4%+1.9
TJ BrodieD · #78011+1225:110.0562.6%+13.7
Justin HollD · #3000−1223:550.0857.9%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16011+1423:510.7764.7%+14.4
Auston MatthewsC · #342130522:240.6764.0%+23.3
Jake MuzzinD · #8000−1221:080.0565.1%0.0
John TavaresC · #91011−1317:290.4064.0%+1.9
Zach HymanLW · #11000−1516:540.4665.5%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88000−1316:430.4674.9%0.0
Joe ThorntonC · #97112+1116:410.1648.1%+21.4
Ilya MikheyevRW · #65000−1112:500.1541.8%0.0
Jimmy VeseyLW · #26000−1112:450.2047.1%0.0
Zach BogosianD · #220000011:570.0249.3%0.0
Travis DermottD · #230000211:570.1752.6%0.0
Alexander KerfootC · #15011−1011:250.0448.6%+13.7
Travis BoydC · #72101−1310:550.2649.6%+12.8
Jason SpezzaC · #19011−1210:540.1480.3%+12.8
Pierre EngvallLW · #47101−129:070.1649.1%+13.7
Frederik Andersen#31O31256.8063.18−2.861:46