Mon, Feb 15, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 66% of the time.
59%
27%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 27:58 | 0.07 | 47.2% | +60.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:42 | 0.00 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:47 | 0.06 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:41 | 0.23 | 29.8% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:31 | 0.00 | 11.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.29 | 49.2% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:15 | 0.00 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:05 | 0.37 | 40.0% | +49.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:46 | 0.43 | 51.2% | +86.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:44 | 0.67 | 37.0% | +39.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.13 | 49.3% | +39.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:25 | 0.12 | 57.9% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.01 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.09 | 24.6% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 12:37 | 0.19 | 33.2% | +5.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:14 | 0.25 | 53.9% | +5.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 8:48 | 0.16 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 8:43 | 0.11 | 35.9% | +1.8 |
| W | 38 | 33 | 5 | .868 | 4.24 | −0.8 | 61:47 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25:24 | 0.01 | 66.4% | +1.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:11 | 0.05 | 62.6% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:55 | 0.08 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:51 | 0.77 | 64.7% | +14.4 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 22:24 | 0.67 | 64.0% | +23.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:08 | 0.05 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:29 | 0.40 | 64.0% | +1.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 16:54 | 0.46 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:43 | 0.46 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:41 | 0.16 | 48.1% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:50 | 0.15 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.20 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:57 | 0.02 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:57 | 0.17 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 11:25 | 0.04 | 48.6% | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 10:55 | 0.26 | 49.6% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 10:54 | 0.14 | 80.3% | +12.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 9:07 | 0.16 | 49.1% | +13.7 |
| O | 31 | 25 | 6 | .806 | 3.18 | −2.8 | 61:46 |