Mon, Feb 15, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 66% of the time.
59%
27%
TOR winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Dadonov–Paul–White | Stepan–Batherson–Stützle | Tierney–Brown–Tkachuk | Brown–Norris–Tkachuk | Norris–Batherson–Stützle | Anisimov–Watson–Tierney | Stepan–Brown–Tkachuk | Anisimov–Stepan–Watson | Anisimov–Brown–Norris | Anisimov–Watson–Norris | Chabot–Zaitsev | Gudbranson–Wolanin | Reilly–Zub | Gudbranson–Reilly | Gudbranson–Chabot | Wolanin–Zub | Reilly–Chabot | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thornton–Marner–Matthews | 2:430.10–0.09 | 1:270.13–0.00 | 2:030.33–0.00 | 3:050.00–0.37 | 2:330.14–0.06 | 7:200.35–0.69 | 0:540.01–0.01 | 2:250.03–0.06 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Tavares–Hyman–Nylander | 4:090.24–0.24 | 3:130.15–0.00 | 0:490.04–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.03 | 3:220.02–0.03 | 2:470.27–0.10 | 1:450.13–0.06 | 1:530.04–0.03 | 1:560.15–0.07 | 0:450.00–0.07 | |||||||
| Spezza–Boyd–Vesey | 1:170.06–0.00 | 0:550.05–0.00 | 0:380.02–0.00 | 1:500.24–0.07 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.10 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 3:190.10–0.07 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:590.15–0.04 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 1:450.08–0.10 | |||||
| Kerfoot–Engvall–Mikheyev | 0:520.00–0.00 | 3:330.24–0.09 | 0:470.00–0.04 | 0:340.04–0.00 | 1:250.04–0.07 | 2:500.15–0.00 | 1:130.06–0.09 | 0:520.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Vesey–Kerfoot–Mikheyev | 0:520.00–0.07 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Brodie–Rielly | 3:240.10–0.09 | 2:480.23–0.00 | 1:560.11–0.12 | 2:280.00–0.08 | 2:170.03–0.07 | 0:440.00–0.03 | 0:450.00–0.10 | 0:370.00–0.07 | 5:210.59–0.19 | 3:000.14–0.03 | 4:190.19–0.12 | 2:280.06–0.03 | 1:510.02–0.10 | ||||
| Muzzin–Holl | 4:160.15–0.22 | 1:350.03–0.00 | 2:400.28–0.00 | 1:540.39–0.32 | 0:490.13–0.06 | 1:250.24–0.03 | 1:310.00–0.00 | 7:500.40–0.58 | 1:480.53–0.00 | 2:040.18–0.06 | 2:080.03–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.07 | 0:390.00–0.07 | ||||
| Bogosian–Dermott | 1:520.09–0.10 | 2:420.12–0.09 | 0:410.13–0.00 | 3:220.11–0.09 | 2:220.00–0.08 | 0:360.00–0.12 | 0:370.04–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Rielly–Dermott | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:520.02–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Bogosian–Brodie | 0:350.00–0.07 | 0:330.00–0.07 | |||||||||||||||
| Holl–Dermott | 0:390.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 30 | 27:58 | 0:56 | 2:22 | 2 | 6 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 29 | 25:24 | 0:53 | 2:13 | 7 | 2 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 27 | 25:11 | 0:56 | 2:09 | 3 | 3 |
 Justin HollTOR | 28 | 23:55 | 0:51 | 1:32 | 5 | 4 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 28 | 23:51 | 0:51 | 2:10 | 7 | 3 |
 Nikita ZaitsevOTT | 30 | 22:42 | 0:45 | 2:11 | 3 | 9 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 26 | 22:24 | 0:52 | 2:10 | 7 | 1 |
 Jake MuzzinTOR | 23 | 21:08 | 0:55 | 1:32 | 3 | 4 |
 Erik GudbransonOTT | 24 | 19:47 | 0:49 | 1:38 | 1 | 3 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 21 | 19:41 | 0:56 | 2:08 | 1 | 2 |
 Derek StepanOTT | 23 | 18:31 | 0:48 | 2:46 | 3 | 7 |
 Connor BrownOTT | 27 | 18:25 | 0:41 | 1:42 | 3 | 4 |
 Mike ReillyOTT | 25 | 18:15 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 0 | 5 |
 Nick PaulOTT | 27 | 18:05 | 0:40 | 1:25 | 2 | 6 |
 Evgenii DadonovOTT | 23 | 17:46 | 0:46 | 1:32 | 3 | 3 |
 John TavaresTOR | 20 | 17:29 | 0:52 | 1:39 | 2 | 1 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 20 | 16:54 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 3 | 2 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 21 | 16:44 | 0:48 | 1:47 | 3 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 20 | 16:43 | 0:50 | 1:39 | 2 | 1 |
 Joe ThorntonTOR | 21 | 16:41 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 5 | 1 |
 Josh NorrisOTT | 21 | 16:41 | 0:48 | 1:47 | 1 | 1 |
 Colin WhiteOTT | 24 | 16:25 | 0:41 | 1:05 | 3 | 3 |
 Christian WolaninOTT | 18 | 15:46 | 0:53 | 1:20 | 2 | 0 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 17 | 14:44 | 0:52 | 1:59 | 1 | 1 |
 Ilya MikheyevTOR | 20 | 12:50 | 0:39 | 1:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Jimmy VeseyTOR | 17 | 12:45 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 2 | 2 |
 Chris TierneyOTT | 19 | 12:37 | 0:40 | 1:04 | 0 | 3 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 19 | 12:14 | 0:39 | 1:09 | 0 | 1 |
 Zach BogosianTOR | 20 | 11:57 | 0:36 | 1:18 | 0 | 2 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 21 | 11:57 | 0:34 | 1:16 | 0 | 1 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 17 | 11:25 | 0:40 | 1:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Travis BoydTOR | 15 | 10:55 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 2 | 2 |
 Jason SpezzaTOR | 17 | 10:54 | 0:38 | 1:45 | 3 | 4 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 16 | 9:07 | 0:34 | 0:55 | 0 | 1 |
 Artem AnisimovOTT | 12 | 8:48 | 0:44 | 1:01 | 1 | 2 |
 Austin WatsonOTT | 14 | 8:43 | 0:37 | 1:02 | 1 | 2 |