Tue, Mar 29, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 72% of the time.
64%
21%
TBL winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:18 | 0.14 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:36 | 0.05 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:29 | 0.03 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:07 | 0.12 | 46.7% | +25.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:08 | 0.22 | 40.3% | +25.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:05 | 0.14 | 49.8% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:38 | 0.30 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:06 | 0.05 | 43.9% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:02 | 0.31 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:20 | 0.02 | 50.9% | +12.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.19 | 41.4% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:09 | 0.00 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:39 | 0.21 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.19 | 32.4% | +45.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 12:48 | 0.06 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:56 | 0.00 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:45 | 0.00 | 6.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:43 | 0.00 | 6.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 3.29 | −0.7 | 60:49 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 25:05 | 0.43 | 71.8% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 23:30 | 0.22 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:21 | 0.01 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 21:45 | 0.21 | 67.1% | +97.4 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | −1 | 1 | 21:07 | 0.09 | 63.8% | +91.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:54 | 0.05 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 20:23 | 0.72 | 63.8% | +44.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.16 | 67.1% | +68.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:27 | 0.20 | 53.1% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:18 | 0.20 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:41 | 0.20 | 74.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:36 | 0.06 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:04 | 0.20 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:03 | 0.00 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:03 | 0.12 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:35 | 0.12 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:20 | 0.00 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 10:05 | 0.28 | 40.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 19 | 16 | 3 | .842 | 2.03 | −1.0 | 60:52 |