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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 29, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 72% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Staal–Niederreiter–FastTeravainen–Aho–JarvisTrocheck–Necas–SvechnikovStepan–Domi–LorentzTrocheck–Domi–SvechnikovSkjei–PesceSlavin–DeAngeloCole–SmithCole–DeAngelo
Stamkos–Kucherov–Point2:200.07–0.153:160.09–0.004:330.53–0.171:100.10–0.000:380.00–0.007:540.28–0.184:460.51–0.191:200.00–0.00
Perry–Maroon–Bellemare3:390.09–0.081:300.29–0.002:400.00–0.021:550.09–0.003:180.07–0.065:090.30–0.10
Killorn–Palat–Cirelli1:080.11–0.004:010.10–0.062:130.01–0.040:450.09–0.004:390.25–0.061:410.07–0.001:360.00–0.040:480.00–0.00
Paul–Colton–Hagel4:050.36–0.241:070.00–0.101:510.00–0.091:040.04–0.000:520.27–0.005:160.09–0.252:400.04–0.21
Killorn–Stamkos–Cirelli1:000.05–0.040:550.05–0.04
Cernak–Sergachev2:040.00–0.135:160.37–0.245:250.55–0.200:400.00–0.006:090.28–0.317:410.50–0.322:240.19–0.00
Hedman–Rutta5:090.43–0.034:280.06–0.002:470.05–0.091:360.13–0.000:340.00–0.067:190.44–0.013:370.18–0.083:080.05–0.090:480.00–0.00
Bogosian–Foote4:070.23–0.311:230.09–0.001:160.00–0.003:340.05–0.023:050.20–0.002:230.00–0.045:450.17–0.29
Sergachev–Rutta0:380.00–0.00
Bogosian–Sergachev0:440.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndPaul FHagel FColton FKillorn FPalat FCirelli FStamkos FPoint FKucherov FPerry FMaroon FBellemare FBogosian DSergachev DRutta DHedman DCernak DFoote DVasilevskiy GStaal FNiederreiter FFast FAho FJarvis FTeravainen FTrocheck FSvechnikov FNecas FStepan FDomi FLorentz FSlavin DDeAngelo DPesce DSkjei DSmith DCole DRaanta G
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL3125:050:491:5085
Mikhail SergachevTBL3123:300:451:1642
Brett PesceCAR3123:180:451:2744
Brady SkjeiCAR2822:360:481:3534
Erik CernakTBL2722:210:501:2933
Steven StamkosTBL2521:450:521:2874
Jaccob SlavinCAR3321:290:391:1953
Nikita KucherovTBL2421:070:531:2892
Tony DeAngeloCAR3021:070:422:5251
Jan RuttaTBL2620:540:481:2553
Brayden PointTBL2420:230:511:2892
Sebastian AhoCAR2419:080:482:2731
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2619:050:442:0330
Vincent TrocheckCAR2718:380:411:1334
Jordan StaalCAR2618:060:421:0627
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2418:020:452:0141
Ian ColeCAR2516:200:391:0916
Nino NiederreiterCAR2116:060:461:1114
Martin NecasCAR2415:090:381:2321
Anthony CirelliTBL2314:450:381:1154
Jesper FastCAR2114:390:421:0115
Alex KillornTBL1914:270:461:4842
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1814:180:481:4121
Corey PerryTBL1913:410:431:1630
Patrick MaroonTBL1813:360:451:2230
Seth JarvisCAR2113:330:391:1630
Ondrej PalatTBL2013:040:390:5571
Zach BogosianTBL1913:030:411:0831
Brendan SmithCAR1912:480:401:0913
Cal FooteTBL1912:030:381:0530
Nick PaulTBL1610:350:401:1112
Brandon HagelTBL1610:200:391:0022
Ross ColtonTBL1510:050:401:0812
Max DomiCAR179:560:351:1331
Steven LorentzCAR147:450:331:1521
Derek StepanCAR136:430:310:5422