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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 12, 2023·Mullett Arena, Tempe

Ottawa Senators 5, Arizona Coyotes 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 93% of the time.

ARI winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

ARI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

DeBrincat–Tkachuk–StützleGiroux–Batherson–PintoBrassard–Watson–KastelicGambrell–Kelly–LucchiniChabot–ZubHamonic–SandersonHolden–Brannstrom
Bjugstad–Crouse–Guenther7:210.25–0.590:480.06–0.200:510.00–0.035:360.35–0.572:590.03–0.222:350.04–0.07
Ritchie–Schmaltz–Hayton5:440.45–0.251:180.06–0.000:430.00–0.082:210.14–0.114:510.39–0.221:260.17–0.00
Boyd–Fischer–McBain0:440.00–0.074:380.06–0.241:070.00–0.001:460.00–0.061:360.00–0.013:370.09–0.29
Boyd–Ritchie–Fischer1:540.00–0.120:310.01–0.000:410.00–0.120:560.00–0.001:130.01–0.00
Schmaltz–Keller–Hayton0:410.00–0.001:000.00–0.090:490.00–0.350:440.00–0.03
Kassian–Keller–McBain0:580.02–0.150:590.02–0.15
Gostisbehere–Chychrun6:400.11–0.303:340.38–0.211:470.12–0.201:160.00–0.085:440.19–0.375:290.32–0.432:580.16–0.00
Nemeth–Moser1:310.00–0.633:450.06–0.160:310.00–0.002:220.00–0.144:080.17–0.863:150.09–0.041:440.05–0.03
Brown–Välimäki0:370.01–0.472:340.06–0.170:430.00–0.001:220.00–0.441:340.01–0.011:590.09–0.21
Stecher–Välimäki0:540.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:400.01–0.000:320.00–0.000:300.00–0.001:550.01–0.00
Nemeth–Välimäki0:480.00–0.001:170.04–0.00
Välimäki–Moser0:510.00–0.000:330.01–0.00
Brown–Moser0:550.02–0.070:420.00–0.07
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGuenther FBjugstad FCrouse FHayton FKeller FSchmaltz FRitchie FBoyd FFischer FMcBain FKassian FChychrun DGostisbehere DNemeth DMoser DVälimäki DStecher DBrown DVejmelka GTkachuk FDeBrincat FStützle FGiroux FBatherson FPinto FLucchini FKelly FGambrell FWatson FKastelic FBrassard FZub DChabot DSanderson DHamonic DBrannstrom DHolden DForsberg G
ARIOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jakob ChychrunARI2723:430:531:3575
Thomas ChabotOTT2523:130:562:1835
Shayne GostisbehereARI2621:580:511:4375
Nick SchmaltzARI2620:310:471:4533
Artem ZubOTT2620:300:471:4327
Jake SandersonOTT2520:290:491:1811
Claude GirouxOTT2820:210:442:4744
Alex DeBrincatOTT2720:110:451:2952
Tim StützleOTT2719:440:441:4363
Nick BjugstadARI2719:160:431:2333
J.J. MoserARI2719:120:431:4245
Travis HamonicOTT2419:040:481:2411
Travis BoydARI2518:310:441:0716
Patrik NemethARI2317:340:461:5625
Brady TkachukOTT2717:340:391:4354
Barrett HaytonARI2817:310:381:3345
Lawson CrouseARI2717:170:381:1044
Juuso VälimäkiARI2317:160:451:2613
Nick RitchieARI2117:130:491:3513
Drake BathersonOTT2317:050:451:4361
Dylan GuentherARI2215:570:441:2531
Nick HoldenOTT2115:320:441:1931
Shane PintoOTT2215:200:421:1351
Derick BrassardOTT2214:410:401:2344
Christian FischerARI2114:340:421:0125
Erik BrannstromOTT1914:240:451:2830
Troy StecherARI1713:470:491:3114
Jack McBainARI2113:350:391:1044
Austin WatsonOTT2212:340:341:0736
Joshua BrownARI2012:330:381:0724
Mark KastelicOTT1812:090:411:2744
Jake LucchiniOTT1911:580:381:0311
Dylan GambrellOTT1811:150:381:0710
Parker KellyOTT1610:200:390:5911
Zack KassianARI117:360:411:1032
Clayton KellerARI74:040:350:5020