Thu, Mar 23, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Ottawa Senators 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 75% of the time.
68%
19%
OTT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:35 | 0.16 | 41.5% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:16 | 0.21 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:49 | 0.21 | 51.9% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.16 | 55.1% | +27.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:15 | 0.04 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 18:58 | 0.18 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:26 | 0.39 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:11 | 0.39 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:04 | 0.01 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:53 | 0.09 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.03 | 46.8% | +27.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.26 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.00 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:41 | 0.07 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:41 | 0.00 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:36 | 0.19 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:12 | 0.10 | 76.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:03 | 0.18 | 47.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 28 | 6 | .824 | 3.58 | −2.4 | 59:43 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 24:25 | 0.02 | 58.8% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:34 | 0.00 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:57 | 0.17 | 47.7% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:52 | 0.00 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 19:17 | 0.53 | 74.8% | +33.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:58 | 0.58 | 63.3% | +18.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 18:37 | 1.66 | 53.8% | +3.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:26 | 0.28 | 55.6% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:07 | 0.02 | 60.1% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:21 | 0.31 | 62.0% | +18.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 15:48 | 0.06 | 56.0% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:02 | 0.01 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:33 | 0.03 | 44.7% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:21 | 0.28 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:23 | 0.17 | 24.9% | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:32 | 0.13 | 50.5% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 8:16 | 0.09 | 52.8% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 5:56 | 0.00 | 52.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.68 | +0.7 | 60:00 |