Thu, Mar 23, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Ottawa Senators 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 75% of the time.
68%
19%
OTT winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kucherov–Point–Hagel | Maroon–Paul–Colton | Killorn–Stamkos–Cirelli | Perry–Eyssimont–Jeannot | Killorn–Stamkos–Eyssimont | Hedman–Perbix | Cernak–Sergachev | Cole–Bogosian | Cole–Perbix | Sergachev–Perbix | Bogosian–Hedman | Cole–Cernak | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giroux–Tkachuk–Stützle | 8:480.63–0.62 | 1:060.15–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.05 | 8:380.74–0.54 | 0:340.14–0.00 | |||||||
| DeBrincat–Batherson–Pinto | 1:150.00–0.00 | 4:580.00–0.24 | 1:450.37–0.00 | 1:480.09–0.10 | 7:500.40–0.33 | 0:400.08–0.00 | ||||||
| Brassard–Gambrell–Greig | 0:320.03–0.00 | 3:220.00–0.16 | 2:070.00–0.10 | 1:020.00–0.12 | 1:100.10–0.12 | 1:240.00–0.12 | 5:110.00–0.11 | |||||
| Watson–Brown–Kastelic | 2:050.12–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.15 | 1:370.04–0.00 | 1:130.01–0.00 | 2:370.08–0.15 | 0:380.02–0.00 | ||||||
| DeBrincat–Batherson–Stützle | ||||||||||||
| Chabot–Chychrun | 0:580.00–0.16 | 4:150.07–0.03 | 2:430.14–0.14 | 1:480.04–0.02 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 5:430.13–0.15 | 2:230.26–0.16 | 2:210.00–0.04 | 1:060.02–0.00 | 0:470.04–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |
| Sanderson–Zub | 7:530.54–0.48 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 1:540.00–0.00 | 5:280.46–0.48 | 1:310.08–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Hamonic–Brannstrom | 0:360.06–0.06 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 2:110.24–0.17 | 1:460.03–0.23 | 0:410.00–0.12 | 1:570.32–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.12 | 4:390.26–0.37 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||
| Chabot–Zub | 1:100.21–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.01 | 1:230.20–0.00 | 0:360.03–0.00 | 0:520.08–0.00 | ||||||
| Brannstrom–Zub | 1:100.18–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:090.18–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Hamonic–Sanderson | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Chabot–Brannstrom | 1:000.01–0.09 | 0:520.01–0.09 | ||||||||||
| Chabot–Sanderson | 0:380.00–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.21 | 1:030.00–0.23 | |||||||||
| Brannstrom–Sanderson | 0:380.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 28 | 24:25 | 0:52 | 1:39 | 4 | 4 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 25 | 22:35 | 0:54 | 1:40 | 5 | 2 |
 Jake SandersonOTT | 28 | 22:34 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 2 | 3 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 26 | 21:57 | 0:51 | 1:48 | 2 | 3 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 27 | 21:16 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 1 | 4 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 27 | 20:52 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 0 | 5 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 20 | 19:49 | 0:59 | 2:13 | 4 | 2 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 19 | 19:47 | 1:02 | 2:13 | 4 | 1 |
 Alex DeBrincatOTT | 22 | 19:17 | 0:53 | 1:45 | 5 | 3 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 24 | 19:15 | 0:48 | 1:49 | 1 | 2 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 23 | 18:58 | 0:49 | 1:45 | 5 | 2 |
 Ian ColeTBL | 21 | 18:58 | 0:54 | 2:07 | 3 | 2 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 24 | 18:37 | 0:47 | 1:45 | 2 | 3 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 24 | 18:26 | 0:46 | 1:42 | 4 | 4 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 24 | 18:26 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 3 | 3 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 24 | 18:11 | 0:45 | 1:37 | 0 | 2 |
 Jakob ChychrunOTT | 19 | 18:07 | 0:57 | 2:25 | 3 | 2 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 26 | 17:21 | 0:40 | 1:19 | 5 | 3 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 20 | 17:04 | 0:51 | 1:12 | 0 | 4 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 20 | 16:53 | 0:51 | 1:26 | 8 | 4 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 21 | 16:51 | 0:48 | 1:29 | 8 | 3 |
 Erik BrannstromOTT | 22 | 15:48 | 0:43 | 1:40 | 1 | 3 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 19 | 15:45 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 5 | 3 |
 Dylan GambrellOTT | 22 | 15:02 | 0:41 | 1:18 | 2 | 2 |
 Travis HamonicOTT | 23 | 14:33 | 0:38 | 1:25 | 3 | 3 |
 Zach BogosianTBL | 17 | 13:34 | 0:48 | 1:26 | 3 | 1 |
 Ross ColtonTBL | 17 | 12:41 | 0:45 | 1:07 | 0 | 4 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 19 | 12:21 | 0:39 | 1:04 | 2 | 4 |
 Tanner JeannotTBL | 16 | 11:41 | 0:44 | 1:03 | 2 | 0 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 16 | 11:36 | 0:44 | 1:09 | 3 | 0 |
 Derick BrassardOTT | 19 | 11:23 | 0:36 | 1:10 | 4 | 3 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 17 | 10:12 | 0:36 | 0:58 | 2 | 1 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 13 | 10:03 | 0:46 | 1:03 | 0 | 3 |
 Austin WatsonOTT | 16 | 9:32 | 0:36 | 1:01 | 0 | 6 |
 Patrick BrownOTT | 13 | 8:16 | 0:38 | 1:04 | 0 | 2 |
 Mark KastelicOTT | 10 | 5:56 | 0:36 | 0:52 | 0 | 2 |