Sun, Oct 15, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Ottawa Senators 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 73% of the time.
64%
9%
19%
OTT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:17 | 0.03 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:08 | 0.08 | 62.1% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 21:40 | 0.00 | 41.4% | +19.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 21:20 | 0.29 | 80.8% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 20:42 | 0.31 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:10 | 0.16 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:34 | 0.17 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:28 | 0.00 | 14.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.18 | 64.5% | +41.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:04 | 0.05 | 13.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.03 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.18 | 69.8% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 12:27 | 0.12 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:26 | 0.00 | 5.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:38 | 0.06 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:19 | 0.00 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 10:49 | 0.15 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:01 | 0.00 | 30.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 37 | 33 | 4 | .892 | 2.24 | −1.8 | 58:28 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:46 | 0.00 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 8 | 22:02 | 1.41 | 67.0% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:01 | 0.01 | 44.0% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 19:57 | 0.32 | 65.0% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:25 | 0.02 | 75.7% | +11.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:22 | 0.01 | 71.6% | +11.1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 7 | 18:36 | 0.50 | 69.3% | +32.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:38 | 0.24 | 55.0% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:38 | 0.07 | 71.7% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:46 | 0.03 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:52 | 0.01 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 15:49 | 0.20 | 71.6% | +41.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:31 | 0.03 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:33 | 0.13 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:18 | 0.05 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:29 | 0.00 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:32 | 0.01 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:11 | 0.00 | 17.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 1.81 | −0.2 | 59:34 |