Mon, Feb 19, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 52% of the time.
37%
11%
9%
43%
TBL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:23 | 0.48 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:57 | 0.16 | 66.7% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 21:01 | 0.03 | 64.1% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.02 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:10 | 0.25 | 63.2% | +15.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.14 | 58.8% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:13 | 0.22 | 59.5% | +6.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 19:11 | 0.35 | 64.8% | +23.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:05 | 0.14 | 57.9% | +6.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:38 | 0.00 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:25 | 0.43 | 60.0% | +6.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:15 | 0.01 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:42 | 0.18 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:19 | 0.09 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.00 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:59 | 0.04 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:32 | 0.00 | 16.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:47 | 0.01 | 19.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.40 | +0.4 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:58 | 0.18 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:42 | 0.11 | 58.9% | +6.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:05 | 0.03 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:55 | 0.25 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:06 | 0.08 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.02 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:21 | 0.00 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:35 | 0.49 | 46.9% | +6.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:31 | 0.01 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:37 | 0.32 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.18 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:41 | 0.01 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.32 | 49.5% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:49 | 0.00 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:55 | 0.16 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:34 | 0.00 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:54 | 0.17 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:42 | 0.08 | 67.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.19 | −1.8 | 56:22 |