Mon, Feb 19, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 52% of the time.
37%
11%
9%
43%
TBL winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Giroux–Joseph–Stützle | Tarasenko–Tkachuk–Pinto | Norris–Batherson–Greig | Kubalik–Kastelic–Kelly | Sanderson–Zub | Chabot–Bernard-Docker | Chychrun–Brannstrom | Chabot–Chychrun | Chychrun–Sanderson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul–Eyssimont–Chaffee | 2:130.06–0.04 | 2:400.00–0.23 | 0:500.21–0.03 | 0:470.00–0.05 | 1:470.06–0.04 | 2:240.00–0.00 | 1:560.11–0.13 | 1:030.21–0.18 | |
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Point | 3:330.25–0.22 | 1:010.08–0.09 | 2:040.22–0.21 | 2:060.11–0.16 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||
| Paul–Cirelli–Hagel | 3:320.26–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.09 | 0:550.00–0.09 | 2:200.21–0.00 | 1:290.04–0.00 | ||||
| Kucherov–Point–Hagel | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.17 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.17 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | |||
| Glendening–Barré-Boulet–Chaffee | 2:330.01–0.06 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.05 | 1:310.00–0.00 | 1:220.01–0.01 | ||||
| Motte–Sheary–Eyssimont | 1:400.00–0.10 | 1:200.00–0.03 | 1:160.00–0.03 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | ||||
| Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | 2:160.11–0.21 | 0:460.02–0.14 | 1:140.14–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.07 | |||||
| Glendening–Motte–Sheary | 0:520.06–0.02 | 0:430.00–0.08 | 0:410.02–0.00 | 0:450.02–0.02 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.08 | |||
| Stamkos–Cirelli–Hagel | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:310.13–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:540.13–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Cirelli | 1:120.00–0.12 | 1:250.00–0.12 | |||||||
| Glendening–Motte–Barré-Boulet | 0:380.01–0.01 | ||||||||
| Stamkos–Point–Hagel | 0:350.23–0.00 | 0:350.23–0.00 | |||||||
| de Haan–Cernak | 2:180.00–0.10 | 6:490.37–0.32 | 1:530.00–0.18 | 2:150.17–0.02 | 3:560.15–0.25 | 5:100.28–0.05 | 3:170.19–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.23 | |
| Hedman–Raddysh | 8:200.34–0.32 | 2:070.08–0.12 | 1:090.25–0.01 | 1:100.13–0.01 | 5:270.22–0.22 | 4:380.35–0.13 | 2:500.23–0.16 | ||
| Perbix–Lilleberg | 1:420.06–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 4:400.22–0.09 | 2:160.00–0.03 | 3:000.06–0.08 | 2:060.00–0.00 | 5:380.03–0.01 | 1:320.21–0.03 | |
| de Haan–Raddysh | 1:260.00–0.04 | 1:190.00–0.13 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Hedman–Perbix | 0:330.00–0.08 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:450.02–0.00 | 1:040.05–0.00 | |||||
| Hedman–Cernak | 1:020.02–0.08 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:220.02–0.00 | ||||||
| Cernak–Lilleberg | 1:320.00–0.01 | 1:050.00–0.01 | 0:320.04–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 30 | 24:58 | 0:50 | 3:50 | 4 | 8 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 24 | 23:42 | 0:59 | 3:50 | 2 | 4 |
 Jakob ChychrunOTT | 24 | 22:23 | 0:56 | 2:06 | 3 | 3 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 23 | 22:05 | 0:58 | 3:50 | 3 | 1 |
 Jake SandersonOTT | 26 | 21:57 | 0:51 | 2:22 | 2 | 3 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 26 | 21:01 | 0:49 | 2:01 | 2 | 3 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 22 | 20:55 | 0:57 | 3:42 | 1 | 4 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 23 | 20:47 | 0:54 | 1:35 | 6 | 1 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 26 | 20:10 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 3 | 3 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 25 | 20:06 | 0:48 | 1:59 | 4 | 5 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 26 | 19:47 | 0:46 | 1:31 | 1 | 5 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 25 | 19:33 | 0:47 | 1:22 | 3 | 3 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 23 | 19:13 | 0:50 | 2:05 | 5 | 4 |
 Mathieu JosephOTT | 25 | 19:11 | 0:46 | 1:27 | 2 | 3 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 23 | 19:05 | 0:50 | 2:05 | 6 | 3 |
 Calvin de HaanTBL | 25 | 18:21 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 0 | 4 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT | 18 | 17:38 | 0:59 | 2:05 | 3 | 1 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 20 | 17:35 | 0:53 | 3:50 | 3 | 2 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 23 | 17:31 | 0:46 | 1:10 | 4 | 3 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoOTT | 24 | 17:25 | 0:44 | 1:46 | 6 | 4 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 19 | 16:37 | 0:52 | 3:35 | 4 | 1 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 21 | 15:49 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 1 | 6 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 19 | 15:41 | 0:50 | 1:11 | 2 | 2 |
 Erik BrannstromOTT | 20 | 15:15 | 0:46 | 1:54 | 1 | 1 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeTBL | 21 | 14:37 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 2 | 4 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 18 | 13:49 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 1 | 3 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 17 | 13:42 | 0:48 | 1:29 | 3 | 1 |
 Josh NorrisOTT | 17 | 13:19 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 4 | 1 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 16 | 12:03 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 3 | 1 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 20 | 11:55 | 0:36 | 1:08 | 2 | 7 |
 Tyler MotteTBL | 15 | 9:34 | 0:38 | 0:58 | 2 | 2 |
 Mark KastelicOTT | 14 | 8:59 | 0:39 | 0:51 | 1 | 0 |
 Conor ShearyTBL | 13 | 8:54 | 0:41 | 1:01 | 1 | 2 |
 Parker KellyOTT | 14 | 8:32 | 0:37 | 0:50 | 1 | 0 |
 Dominik KubalikOTT | 13 | 7:47 | 0:36 | 0:54 | 1 | 0 |
 Alex Barré-BouletTBL | 11 | 7:42 | 0:42 | 1:07 | 3 | 1 |