Tue, Jan 7, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Ottawa Senators 2, Detroit Red Wings 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 66% of the time.
56%
10%
26%
DET winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 23:56 | 0.06 | 57.4% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:33 | 0.19 | 78.4% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:50 | 0.08 | 80.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:39 | 0.06 | 52.6% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:04 | 0.37 | 54.1% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:02 | 0.25 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:34 | 0.10 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:25 | 0.56 | 73.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:57 | 0.19 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:17 | 0.17 | 75.1% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:13 | 0.03 | 54.9% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:07 | 0.15 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:57 | 0.00 | 14.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.02 | 10.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:47 | 0.00 | 15.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:31 | 0.00 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:32 | 0.00 | 9.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:21 | 0.09 | 10.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 3.19 | +0.2 | 62:03 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:43 | 0.16 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:05 | 0.01 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:13 | 0.85 | 69.2% | +46.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:05 | 0.28 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18:52 | 0.50 | 26.3% | +57.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:26 | 0.01 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:15 | 0.06 | 42.3% | +31.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:12 | 0.05 | 18.7% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:26 | 0.18 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:19 | 0.26 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.12 | 69.7% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:36 | 0.04 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.13 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.10 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:06 | 0.05 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:15 | 0.26 | 53.9% | +31.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:09 | 0.09 | 65.1% | +31.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:36 | 0.05 | 54.8% | 0.0 |
| – | 10 | 10 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.53 | +0.5 | 20:00 | |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 1.81 | −0.2 | 42:21 |