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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 7, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Ottawa Senators 2, Detroit Red Wings 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 66% of the time.

DET winsOTT wins

Ottawa Senators

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Thomas ChabotD · #72101+1523:560.0657.4%+19.7
Jake SandersonD · #850110322:330.1978.4%+25.7
Artem ZubD · #20000321:500.0880.6%0.0
Nick JensenD · #3011+1221:390.0652.6%+19.7
Tim StützleC · #180110420:040.3754.1%+25.7
Josh NorrisC · #90000320:020.2551.3%0.0
Drake BathersonRW · #190000219:340.1057.4%0.0
Shane PintoC · #12000+1118:250.5673.9%0.0
Claude GirouxRW · #280000117:570.1959.1%0.0
Brady TkachukLW · #71010317:170.1775.1%+25.7
Nick CousinsC · #21011+1017:130.0354.9%+19.7
Ridly GreigC · #71000+1217:070.1567.2%0.0
Tyler KlevenD · #43000−1015:570.0014.5%0.0
Nikolas MatinpaloD · #33000−1114:130.0210.3%0.0
Noah GregorLW · #73000−1010:470.0015.8%0.0
Adam GaudetteRW · #810000110:310.0045.6%0.0
Jan JenikC · #14000−107:320.009.7%0.0
Zack OstapchukC · #38000−127:210.0910.1%0.0
Anton Forsberg#31O33303.9093.19+0.262:03

Detroit Red Wings

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Moritz SeiderD · #530000325:430.1665.9%0.0
Ben ChiarotD · #8000+1021:050.0169.4%0.0
Patrick KaneRW · #881010419:130.8569.2%+46.1
Erik GustafssonD · #560000119:050.2848.7%0.0
Dylan LarkinC · #711120418:520.5026.3%+57.6
Justin HollD · #3000−1118:260.0142.4%0.0
Simon EdvinssonD · #77011+1318:150.0642.3%+31.3
Lucas RaymondLW · #230110218:120.0518.7%+11.5
J.T. CompherLW · #370000217:260.1843.4%0.0
Andrew CoppC · #180000217:190.2670.4%0.0
Alex DeBrincatRW · #930110117:170.1269.7%+11.5
Albert JohanssonD · #20000−1116:360.0428.1%0.0
Jonatan BerggrenRW · #48000−1115:460.1354.6%0.0
Marco KasperC · #92000−1215:000.1021.3%0.0
Vladimir TarasenkoRW · #110000214:060.0545.1%0.0
Joseph VelenoC · #90101+1212:150.2653.9%+31.3
Tyler MotteC · #140110110:090.0965.1%+31.3
Michael RasmussenC · #27000+119:360.0554.8%0.0
Alex Lyon#34–101001.0000.53+0.520:00
Cam Talbot#39W23212.9131.81−0.242:21