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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 7, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Ottawa Senators 2, Detroit Red Wings 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 66% of the time.

DET winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tkachuk–Pinto–GreigGiroux–Batherson–StützleCousins–Gaudette–NorrisGregor–Jenik–OstapchukCousins–Gregor–NorrisGiroux–Cousins–NorrisCousins–Pinto–GreigBatherson–Jenik–OstapchukJensen–ChabotSanderson–ZubKleven–MatinpaloChabot–ZubKleven–Zub
Tarasenko–Compher–Berggren4:250.05–0.202:260.00–0.030:580.07–0.074:150.09–0.104:280.02–0.222:410.16–0.00
Kane–Copp–DeBrincat2:450.16–0.261:340.19–0.004:180.08–0.071:070.47–0.050:330.00–0.004:200.14–0.175:020.21–0.251:500.55–0.00
Larkin–Veleno–Raymond1:400.02–0.242:510.05–0.030:410.02–0.003:310.07–0.032:320.02–0.24
Larkin–Raymond–Kasper1:160.00–0.002:250.06–0.460:420.00–0.002:150.06–0.091:220.00–0.170:570.00–0.000:570.00–0.19
Motte–Rasmussen–Kasper0:300.00–0.001:450.00–0.171:000.00–0.050:550.00–0.202:350.00–0.06
Motte–Rasmussen–Veleno1:110.00–0.000:380.09–0.000:530.23–0.001:090.01–0.002:160.31–0.00
Kane–DeBrincat–Kasper0:310.03–0.000:380.03–0.00
Larkin–Berggren–Raymond
Chiarot–Seider4:350.06–0.245:170.21–0.040:510.00–0.052:170.49–0.090:430.00–0.054:430.12–0.078:320.15–0.452:430.70–0.000:340.00–0.00
Holl–Gustafsson0:580.00–0.001:430.06–0.266:210.24–0.120:570.00–0.000:350.04–0.000:590.04–0.000:420.00–0.004:190.18–0.003:100.00–0.106:410.20–0.131:030.00–0.19
Johansson–Edvinsson5:370.16–0.343:420.03–0.281:070.00–0.141:250.13–0.000:400.00–0.007:400.08–0.312:380.07–0.413:200.19–0.00
Holl–Johansson0:310.00–0.130:410.00–0.13
Gustafsson–Edvinsson0:360.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndTarasenko FCompher FBerggren FRaymond FLarkin FVeleno FCopp FKane FDeBrincat FRasmussen FKasper FMotte FChiarot DSeider DEdvinsson DJohansson DHoll DGustafsson DLyon GTalbot GTkachuk FPinto FGreig FStützle FGiroux FBatherson FCousins FNorris FGaudette FGregor FOstapchuk FJenik FZub DSanderson DChabot DJensen DKleven DMatinpalo DForsberg G
DETOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Moritz SeiderDET3325:430:471:4956
Thomas ChabotOTT2823:560:511:4034
Jake SandersonOTT2922:330:472:1725
Artem ZubOTT3021:500:441:3016
Nick JensenOTT2821:390:461:4034
Ben ChiarotDET2921:050:441:4546
Tim StützleOTT2820:040:432:0261
Josh NorrisOTT2920:020:412:2058
Drake BathersonOTT2619:340:451:5372
Patrick KaneDET2019:130:581:5254
Erik GustafssonDET2319:050:501:3032
Dylan LarkinDET2518:520:451:2874
Justin HollDET2218:260:501:2932
Shane PintoOTT2818:250:391:2636
Simon EdvinssonDET2318:150:481:0344
Lucas RaymondDET2418:120:461:2773
Claude GirouxOTT3117:570:351:0965
J.T. CompherDET2417:260:441:4545
Andrew CoppDET2017:190:522:1955
Alex DeBrincatDET2017:170:521:5264
Brady TkachukOTT2617:170:401:4354
Nick CousinsOTT2517:130:411:2034
Ridly GreigOTT2717:070:381:2532
Albert JohanssonDET2316:360:431:1424
Tyler KlevenOTT1715:570:561:4110
Jonatan BerggrenDET2215:460:431:1524
Marco KasperDET2115:000:431:1001
Nikolas MatinpaloOTT1714:130:501:3610
Vladimir TarasenkoDET2214:060:381:0334
Joseph VelenoDET1712:150:431:2943
Noah GregorOTT1710:470:381:0300
Adam GaudetteOTT1510:310:421:0430
Tyler MotteDET1610:090:380:5601
Michael RasmussenDET159:360:381:0701
Jan JenikOTT117:320:411:0500
Zack OstapchukOTT117:210:401:0300