Thu, Mar 6, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.
51%
10%
8%
31%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 25:12 | 0.00 | 59.1% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 23:35 | 0.28 | 59.9% | +30.9 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:38 | 0.03 | 56.5% | +29.1 |
 JJ PeterkaRW · #77 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 21:35 | 0.21 | 54.6% | +37.0 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:00 | 0.18 | 43.0% | +11.3 |
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:18 | 0.01 | 45.0% | 0.0 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:19 | 0.42 | 52.1% | +20.5 |
 Jiri KulichC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:55 | 0.35 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 17:54 | 0.10 | 40.1% | 0.0 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.05 | 47.3% | 0.0 |
 Connor CliftonD · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.04 | 44.6% | 0.0 |
 Jacob BrysonD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.00 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:47 | 0.22 | 64.2% | +18.7 |
 Sam LaffertyC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:32 | 0.24 | 56.1% | 0.0 |
 Jordan GreenwayLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.00 | 20.5% | 0.0 |
 Zach BensonLW · #9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 10:57 | 0.23 | 64.5% | +29.1 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 9:43 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:25 | 0.00 | 23.4% | 0.0 |
 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen#1 | L | 26 | 20 | 6 | .769 | 2.61 | −3.4 | 57:53 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25:41 | 0.00 | 40.2% | +10.4 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 24:47 | 0.02 | 49.6% | +35.7 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 22:53 | 0.08 | 48.5% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:10 | 0.29 | 58.6% | +19.9 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 21:42 | 0.21 | 49.8% | +35.4 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18:27 | 0.41 | 52.1% | +61.3 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:46 | 0.14 | 36.1% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:18 | 0.23 | 58.7% | +43.8 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:01 | 0.03 | 61.7% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:47 | 0.39 | 63.4% | +23.9 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.26 | 52.1% | +16.4 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:42 | 0.12 | 39.9% | +26.8 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:53 | 0.49 | 67.1% | +23.9 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.06 | 32.5% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:02 | 0.05 | 28.0% | +10.6 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:49 | 0.04 | 29.2% | 0.0 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeRW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 8:42 | 0.06 | 42.7% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:57 | 0.00 | 67.1% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 33 | 28 | 5 | .848 | 2.36 | −2.6 | 60:00 |