Sat, Apr 5, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 69% of the time.
61%
24%
BUF winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25:28 | 0.57 | 41.3% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:50 | 0.00 | 43.2% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24:31 | 0.30 | 55.2% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:25 | 0.16 | 58.9% | +20.3 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:24 | 0.24 | 60.9% | +20.3 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:53 | 0.22 | 36.3% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:00 | 0.02 | 39.7% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:27 | 0.11 | 20.4% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:23 | 0.00 | 46.4% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:29 | 0.18 | 32.1% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:22 | 0.07 | 53.9% | +24.9 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:50 | 0.21 | 58.8% | +24.9 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 11:42 | 0.49 | 57.1% | +24.9 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:41 | 0.07 | 76.5% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:20 | 0.04 | 51.1% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:52 | 0.00 | 58.6% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:15 | 0.10 | 77.7% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 6:36 | 0.00 | 47.5% | 0.0 |
 Jonas Johansson#31 | O | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 4.00 | +2.0 | 64:59 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:16 | 0.36 | 55.1% | +28.8 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:50 | 0.36 | 74.2% | +21.4 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:27 | 0.04 | 45.1% | 0.0 |
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:18 | 0.09 | 45.9% | 0.0 |
 Connor CliftonD · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:14 | 0.04 | 43.4% | 0.0 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:12 | 0.22 | 48.1% | 0.0 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:54 | 0.48 | 30.6% | +28.8 |
 JJ PeterkaRW · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 19:35 | 1.00 | 38.7% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:17 | 0.26 | 41.1% | 0.0 |
 Jiri KulichC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:04 | 0.17 | 86.3% | 0.0 |
 Zach BensonLW · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:06 | 0.30 | 72.6% | +21.4 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.03 | 30.0% | 0.0 |
 Jason ZuckerLW · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:47 | 0.24 | 35.1% | +28.8 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:10 | 0.08 | 85.3% | 0.0 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 13:22 | 0.25 | 37.8% | 0.0 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:01 | 0.07 | 36.9% | 0.0 |
 Sam LaffertyC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:01 | 0.00 | 64.8% | 0.0 |
 Noah OstlundC · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:37 | 0.00 | 35.6% | 0.0 |
 James Reimer#47 | W | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 2.77 | +0.8 | 65:00 |