Sun, Apr 13, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 86% of the time.
81%
10%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24:11 | 0.12 | – | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:59 | 0.01 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:46 | 0.05 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:07 | 0.21 | – | +19.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 19:04 | 0.28 | – | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:48 | 0.00 | – | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.04 | – | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:22 | 0.31 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:47 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:43 | 0.32 | – | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:22 | 0.08 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:41 | 0.19 | – | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 14:08 | 0.08 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:56 | 0.28 | – | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.16 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:45 | 0.04 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:34 | 0.33 | – | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 24 | 7 | .774 | 5.18 | −1.8 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:33 | 0.15 | – | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 20:59 | 0.55 | – | +34.8 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 20:24 | 0.46 | – | +35.1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 19:42 | 0.84 | – | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:56 | 0.25 | – | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:18 | 0.23 | – | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:16 | 0.70 | – | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.09 | – | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:03 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:23 | 0.05 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:08 | 0.07 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.04 | – | +6.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 15:51 | 0.22 | – | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:16 | 0.53 | – | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 12:40 | 0.75 | – | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:38 | 0.15 | – | +6.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:25 | 0.09 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:06 | 0.03 | – | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 2.50 | −1.5 | 60:00 |
Shift data for this game is incomplete, so on-ice figures are not shown.