Tue, Apr 15, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Florida Panthers 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 85% of the time.
79%
11%
TBL winsFLA wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Marchand–Verhaeghe–Bennett | Boqvist–Luostarinen–Sturm | Puljujarvi–Luostarinen–Sturm | Rodrigues–Puljujarvi–Samoskevich | Rodrigues–Boqvist–Samoskevich | Rodrigues–Gadjovich–Samoskevich | Marchand–Verhaeghe–Asplund | Gadjovich–Luostarinen–Sturm | Jones–Mikkola | Kulikov–Balinskis | Megna–Balinskis | Kulikov–Mikkola | Schmidt–Balinskis | Kulikov–Schmidt | Kulikov–Kiersted | Megna–Schmidt | Schmidt–Kiersted | Megna–Jones | Jones–Kiersted | Kiersted–Balinskis | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul–Goncalves–Geekie | 1:400.03–0.02 | 1:060.07–0.09 | 0:510.00–0.10 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:420.07–0.27 | 1:310.03–0.02 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:330.28–0.09 | 0:420.07–0.27 | 0:390.01–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.03 | |||||||
| Guentzel–Cirelli–Hagel | 4:240.26–0.39 | 0:430.15–0.00 | 0:350.05–0.01 | 0:500.15–0.00 | 1:170.26–0.04 | 1:310.00–0.21 | 1:060.05–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.09 | 0:450.15–0.00 | 0:490.15–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Kucherov–Gourde–Point | 0:400.00–0.07 | 2:440.30–0.02 | 2:170.11–0.09 | 0:340.00–0.04 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Girgensons–Chaffee–Geekie | 1:260.00–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:430.05–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:430.05–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.01 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Gourde–Paul–Goncalves | 0:470.08–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:500.08–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Gourde–Girgensons–Chaffee | 1:050.09–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Girgensons–Chaffee–Goncalves | 0:330.12–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:320.12–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Kucherov–Point–Hagel | 0:370.00–0.09 | |||||||||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 7:030.77–0.39 | 1:310.26–0.04 | 1:270.00–0.21 | 0:350.08–0.00 | 0:350.05–0.00 | 2:000.00–0.09 | ||||||||||||||
| Perbix–Lilleberg | 0:510.00–0.00 | 2:160.07–0.09 | 0:350.00–0.03 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:130.07–0.09 | 0:340.00–0.03 | 0:490.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Hedman–Moser | 1:260.03–0.02 | 0:510.15–0.00 | 0:350.11–0.02 | 1:170.21–0.04 | 0:420.28–0.00 | 0:430.01–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:520.15–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Hedman–Raddysh | 0:530.00–0.07 | 1:230.19–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.07 | 0:350.02–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Raddysh–Lilleberg | 0:410.00–0.10 | 0:500.07–0.27 | 0:320.00–0.04 | 0:500.07–0.27 | 0:300.00–0.03 | |||||||||||||||
| Perbix–Moser | 1:190.12–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:320.12–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Raddysh–Moser | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.06 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Moser–Lilleberg | 1:070.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Perbix | 0:430.15–0.00 | 0:410.15–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Moser | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Cernak–Lilleberg | 0:470.00–0.01 | 0:500.00–0.01 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Brad MarchandFLA | 26 | 21:09 | 0:49 | 1:39 | 3 | 1 |
 Seth JonesFLA | 24 | 19:53 | 0:50 | 1:32 | 3 | 3 |
 Uvis BalinskisFLA | 23 | 19:46 | 0:52 | 1:37 | 0 | 1 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 23 | 19:29 | 0:51 | 1:42 | 1 | 1 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 23 | 19:12 | 0:50 | 1:36 | 0 | 1 |
 Carter VerhaegheFLA | 25 | 19:10 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 2 | 1 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 23 | 19:09 | 0:50 | 1:32 | 0 | 2 |
 Nate SchmidtFLA | 22 | 19:00 | 0:52 | 1:23 | 1 | 2 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 24 | 18:37 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 1 | 3 |
 Dmitry KulikovFLA | 27 | 18:22 | 0:41 | 1:09 | 0 | 3 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 19 | 18:21 | 0:58 | 1:46 | 4 | 0 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 18 | 18:15 | 1:01 | 1:55 | 5 | 2 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 20 | 17:52 | 0:54 | 1:44 | 1 | 1 |
 Eetu LuostarinenFLA | 25 | 17:29 | 0:42 | 1:05 | 1 | 7 |
 Sam BennettFLA | 22 | 17:14 | 0:47 | 1:41 | 2 | 1 |
 Evan RodriguesFLA | 20 | 16:57 | 0:51 | 1:19 | 2 | 1 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 16 | 16:24 | 1:02 | 1:46 | 3 | 1 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 23 | 16:18 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 1 | 1 |
 Mackie SamoskevichFLA | 19 | 16:06 | 0:51 | 1:26 | 2 | 1 |
 Jesper BoqvistFLA | 25 | 16:02 | 0:38 | 1:12 | 1 | 4 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 22 | 15:45 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 1 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 20 | 15:36 | 0:47 | 1:03 | 1 | 1 |
 Nico SturmFLA | 23 | 15:26 | 0:40 | 1:18 | 1 | 6 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 16 | 15:12 | 0:57 | 2:00 | 3 | 1 |
 Niko MikkolaFLA | 23 | 15:06 | 0:39 | 1:23 | 1 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 16 | 15:03 | 0:56 | 1:58 | 4 | 1 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 21 | 14:52 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 1 | 2 |
 Conor GeekieTBL | 20 | 14:48 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 0 | 1 |
 Jaycob MegnaFLA | 18 | 14:07 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 0 | 1 |
 Jesse PuljujarviFLA | 18 | 13:45 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 1 | 1 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 17 | 13:38 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 1 | 2 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 16 | 12:37 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 2 | 1 |
 Jonah GadjovichFLA | 16 | 10:58 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt KierstedFLA | 14 | 10:00 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 0 | 0 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeTBL | 11 | 8:56 | 0:49 | 1:04 | 1 | 0 |
 Rasmus AsplundFLA | 12 | 7:04 | 0:35 | 1:01 | 0 | 0 |