Thu, Oct 9, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 76% of the time.
17%
69%
TBL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake SandersonD · #85 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 23:10 | 0.43 | 75.3% | +49.2 |
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:00 | 0.13 | 72.4% | 0.0 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 5 | 20:44 | 0.11 | 85.1% | +46.3 |
 Nick JensenD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:35 | 0.00 | 62.8% | 0.0 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 19:24 | 0.64 | 65.4% | +52.4 |
 Shane PintoC · #12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 19:21 | 0.45 | 83.7% | +70.6 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:03 | 0.34 | 62.1% | +13.2 |
 Michael AmadioRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:54 | 0.00 | 47.1% | 0.0 |
 Ridly GreigC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:09 | 0.56 | 79.0% | 0.0 |
 Fabian ZetterlundLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:34 | 0.07 | 66.2% | 0.0 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:35 | 0.13 | 47.7% | +11.7 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:11 | 0.59 | 85.0% | +5.6 |
 Lars EllerC · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.06 | 85.0% | 0.0 |
 Donovan SebrangoD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:18 | 0.00 | 33.8% | 0.0 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloD · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:35 | 0.00 | 51.7% | 0.0 |
 David PerronLW · #57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:37 | 0.16 | 61.3% | 0.0 |
 Nick CousinsC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:46 | 0.05 | 80.9% | 0.0 |
 Kurtis MacDermidLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:13 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Linus Ullmark#35 | W | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 2.15 | −1.9 | 59:53 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 23:49 | 0.13 | 21.9% | +15.7 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 22:32 | 0.30 | 23.1% | +24.1 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 2 | 0 | 2 | −2 | 4 | 20:55 | 0.52 | 22.7% | +15.7 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 2 | 3 | −2 | 1 | 19:40 | 0.08 | 25.7% | +36.9 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:02 | 0.02 | 30.6% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:45 | 0.03 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:25 | 0.00 | 39.0% | 0.0 |
 Max CrozierD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:52 | 0.15 | 27.9% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.04 | 28.8% | +14.9 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.05 | 25.7% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:40 | 0.18 | 39.3% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:56 | 0.21 | 41.7% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:39 | 0.36 | 13.6% | +12.2 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeRW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:24 | 0.03 | 48.6% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:56 | 0.03 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:52 | 0.00 | 71.5% | 0.0 |
 Conor GeekieC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.00 | 76.5% | 0.0 |
 Curtis DouglasC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:09 | 0.01 | 90.9% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | L | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 3.20 | −0.8 | 58:56 |