Fri, Oct 17, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Detroit Red Wings 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 54% of the time.
46%
9%
9%
37%
DET winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26:12 | 0.19 | 62.0% | +44.4 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 24:56 | 0.56 | 62.5% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 24:11 | 0.37 | 61.3% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:16 | 0.09 | 41.8% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:26 | 0.12 | 67.9% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:21 | 0.05 | 67.6% | +44.4 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:44 | 0.02 | 23.0% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.08 | 24.3% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:56 | 0.16 | 51.3% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:49 | 0.00 | 30.4% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:06 | 0.03 | 19.3% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:51 | 0.16 | 44.1% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:19 | 0.03 | 27.8% | 0.0 |
 Conor GeekieC · #14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.02 | 59.5% | +44.4 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:49 | 0.15 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeRW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:18 | 0.18 | 60.2% | 0.0 |
 Jack FinleyC · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7:51 | 0.38 | 58.3% | 0.0 |
 Curtis DouglasC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:27 | 0.22 | 61.0% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | O | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 3.03 | +1.0 | 63:36 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Moritz SeiderD · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27:19 | 0.20 | 44.7% | 0.0 |
 Simon EdvinssonD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:42 | 0.14 | 39.4% | 0.0 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 23:12 | 0.39 | 25.7% | +67.7 |
 Ben ChiarotD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:15 | 0.08 | 46.1% | 0.0 |
 J.T. CompherLW · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:44 | 0.19 | 73.6% | +50.9 |
 Emmitt FinnieC · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:35 | 0.24 | 27.3% | 0.0 |
 Alex DeBrincatRW · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:54 | 0.00 | 57.9% | 0.0 |
 Patrick KaneRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:42 | 0.13 | 57.1% | 0.0 |
 Axel Sandin-PellikkaD · #44 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:27 | 0.07 | 37.8% | +16.8 |
 Albert JohanssonD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.01 | 69.2% | 0.0 |
 Mason AppletonC · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.06 | 24.4% | +16.8 |
 Marco KasperC · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.23 | 42.7% | 0.0 |
 Andrew CoppC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.01 | 65.7% | 0.0 |
 Michael Brandsegg-NygårdRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:36 | 0.25 | 63.3% | 0.0 |
 Michael RasmussenC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:28 | 0.20 | 49.4% | 0.0 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:34 | 0.52 | 81.3% | 0.0 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:07 | 0.00 | 75.7% | 0.0 |
 Elmer SoderblomLW · #85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:40 | 0.32 | 49.4% | 0.0 |
 John Gibson#36 | W | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 2.80 | +1.8 | 63:36 |