Fri, Oct 17, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Detroit Red Wings 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 54% of the time.
46%
9%
9%
37%
DET winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gourde–Bjorkstrand–Holmberg | Guentzel–Point–Goncalves | Guentzel–Point–Hagel | Douglas–Chaffee–Finley | Cirelli–Hagel–Geekie | Cirelli–Goncalves–Geekie | Guentzel–Bjorkstrand–Point | Hedman–Moser | McDonagh–Cernak | Raddysh–Lilleberg | Hedman–Cernak | McDonagh–Moser | Hedman–Raddysh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larkin–Appleton–Finnie | 0:490.00–0.04 | 1:330.17–0.00 | 1:570.10–0.45 | 0:380.00–0.62 | 2:240.00–0.02 | 0:440.00–0.01 | 1:040.01–0.00 | 3:050.06–1.01 | 3:040.06–0.11 | 2:590.21–0.02 | 0:460.01–0.00 | ||
| Copp–Compher–Brandsegg-Nygård | 1:340.03–0.00 | 1:230.01–0.00 | 0:300.12–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.08 | 2:120.00–0.02 | 0:450.10–0.00 | 5:230.27–0.11 | 1:490.00–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.00 | ||||
| Kane–DeBrincat–Kasper | 4:500.01–0.04 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.08 | 0:400.05–0.00 | 3:170.12–0.04 | 4:210.11–0.01 | 1:090.00–0.00 | ||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Rasmussen–Soderblom | 0:540.00–0.02 | 2:380.47–0.03 | 1:280.14–0.01 | 0:550.00–0.02 | 2:010.33–0.09 | ||||||||
| Kane–Larkin–DeBrincat | 0:410.00–0.01 | 1:040.00–0.01 | |||||||||||
| Appleton–Rasmussen–Soderblom | 1:170.02–0.03 | 1:090.02–0.03 | |||||||||||
| Chiarot–Seider | 4:010.08–0.01 | 3:380.21–0.00 | 3:040.10–0.53 | 2:410.00–0.09 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 4:510.08–0.51 | 6:360.12–0.12 | 4:480.24–0.08 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:330.04–0.00 | ||
| Edvinsson–Sandin-Pellikka | 2:320.03–0.03 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:290.04–0.35 | 1:510.27–0.62 | 1:150.00–0.02 | 1:240.05–0.04 | 5:070.27–0.69 | 2:480.11–0.01 | 2:350.16–0.43 | 0:390.00–0.07 | |||
| Bernard-Docker–Johansson | 2:380.00–0.07 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 2:420.20–0.03 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 0:450.10–0.00 | 3:120.10–0.07 | 3:240.00–0.02 | 1:540.20–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||
| Johansson–Edvinsson | 1:160.03–0.00 | 1:530.00–0.03 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.05 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.03 | 0:370.03–0.00 | ||||||
| Chiarot–Edvinsson | 0:310.15–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
DETTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
