Mon, Dec 8, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 0, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.
48%
10%
10%
32%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:38 | 0.12 | 52.4% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:42 | 0.06 | 61.4% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:13 | 0.00 | 38.6% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:12 | 0.03 | 47.7% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 20:53 | 0.38 | 59.6% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:51 | 0.30 | 58.8% | 0.0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:18 | 0.05 | 51.0% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:02 | 0.14 | 52.7% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:48 | 0.27 | 65.1% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.01 | 46.0% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:38 | 0.03 | 35.1% | 0.0 |
 Max CrozierD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:02 | 0.00 | 49.8% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:46 | 0.01 | 60.7% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:03 | 0.38 | 37.1% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:52 | 0.08 | 41.2% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:30 | 0.05 | 59.8% | 0.0 |
 Jack FinleyC · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:39 | 0.02 | 24.8% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:25 | 0.15 | 57.9% | 0.0 |
 Jonas Johansson#31 | L | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 1.93 | +0.9 | 57:45 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 25:15 | 0.04 | 47.5% | 0.0 |
 Troy StecherD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:08 | 0.00 | 50.9% | 0.0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:39 | 0.06 | 44.2% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:20 | 0.20 | 45.9% | +18.3 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:17 | 0.10 | 51.3% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 20:07 | 0.88 | 46.1% | +2.7 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:31 | 0.00 | 28.7% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.05 | 28.7% | +18.3 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:24 | 0.04 | 54.0% | 0.0 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.16 | 41.0% | +18.3 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.05 | 51.1% | 0.0 |
 Scott LaughtonC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.32 | 66.1% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:13 | 0.00 | 83.8% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:00 | 0.36 | 69.1% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:11 | 0.05 | 64.4% | 0.0 |
 Dakota MermisD · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:34 | 0.02 | 66.3% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:17 | 0.12 | 94.3% | 0.0 |
 Dakota JoshuaC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:11 | 0.00 | 39.7% | 0.0 |
 Dennis Hildeby#35 | W | 29 | 29 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.09 | +2.1 | 59:42 |