Mon, Dec 8, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 0, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.
48%
10%
10%
32%
TOR winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | Guentzel–Paul–Point | Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | Bjorkstrand–Finley–Goncalves | Guentzel–Paul–Cirelli | Bjorkstrand–Paul–Finley | D'Astous–Lilleberg | Raddysh–Moser | Hedman–Crozier | Raddysh–D'Astous | Moser–Lilleberg | Hedman–Moser | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domi–Matthews–Knies | 7:260.36–0.20 | 1:220.16–0.12 | 0:390.04–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.04 | 0:350.05–0.00 | 4:200.38–0.15 | 6:080.37–0.21 | 0:380.03–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Cowan | 7:000.14–0.36 | 1:370.00–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.03 | 3:090.06–0.09 | 5:200.09–0.06 | 2:060.00–0.30 | |||||||
| Jarnkrok–Laughton–Lorentz | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.04 | 1:030.01–0.00 | 0:590.06–0.04 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.04 | 3:580.30–0.07 | ||||||
| Joshua–Roy–McMann | 0:560.00–0.00 | 1:340.01–0.01 | 0:410.02–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 1:490.11–0.00 | 2:360.06–0.00 | |||||||
| Laughton–Roy–Lorentz | 1:240.00–0.01 | 0:440.00–0.01 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Nylander–Matthews–Knies | 0:420.01–0.18 | ||||||||||||
| Domi–Matthews–Cowan | 0:320.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||
| McCabe–Stecher | 8:400.33–0.38 | 2:010.11–0.01 | 1:330.00–0.14 | 1:280.00–0.04 | 6:400.29–0.20 | 5:220.21–0.41 | 2:390.03–0.01 | 1:130.00–0.00 | |||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | 1:230.03–0.14 | 5:540.30–0.26 | 2:270.04–0.04 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.05 | 0:510.00–0.03 | 5:100.21–0.22 | 6:290.15–0.11 | 2:270.00–0.13 | ||||
| Mermis–Benoit | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:490.29–0.21 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 1:190.07–0.00 | 1:390.00–0.03 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:200.00–0.03 | 5:150.41–0.23 | |||||
| McCabe–Benoit | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:510.09–0.04 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:300.09–0.04 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Benoit | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:090.01–0.13 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Rielly–Stecher | |||||||||||||
| Rielly–Mermis | 0:340.11–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Rielly–Benoit |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake McCabeTOR | 27 | 25:15 | 0:56 | 2:33 | 1 | 3 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 22 | 24:38 | 1:07 | 2:44 | 3 | 0 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 23 | 23:42 | 1:02 | 2:44 | 1 | 6 |
 Troy StecherTOR | 26 | 23:08 | 0:53 | 2:48 | 0 | 3 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 30 | 21:39 | 0:43 | 1:37 | 8 | 1 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 27 | 21:20 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 8 | 1 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 24 | 21:13 | 0:53 | 1:31 | 1 | 2 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 25 | 21:12 | 0:51 | 1:42 | 2 | 7 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 21 | 20:53 | 1:00 | 2:56 | 6 | 4 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 22 | 20:51 | 0:57 | 1:30 | 7 | 2 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 24 | 20:18 | 0:51 | 1:16 | 2 | 1 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 22 | 20:17 | 0:55 | 1:39 | 7 | 2 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 22 | 20:07 | 0:55 | 1:32 | 6 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 22 | 19:31 | 0:53 | 2:01 | 7 | 1 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 23 | 19:02 | 0:50 | 1:32 | 4 | 1 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 21 | 18:48 | 0:54 | 2:32 | 5 | 4 |
 John TavaresTOR | 22 | 17:43 | 0:48 | 1:16 | 7 | 2 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 21 | 17:43 | 0:51 | 2:21 | 3 | 1 |
 Max DomiTOR | 20 | 17:24 | 0:52 | 1:34 | 4 | 1 |
 Easton CowanTOR | 20 | 16:52 | 0:51 | 1:15 | 5 | 1 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 21 | 15:15 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 1 | 1 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 17 | 14:38 | 0:52 | 1:27 | 0 | 7 |
 Scott LaughtonTOR | 19 | 14:21 | 0:45 | 1:53 | 0 | 3 |
 Max CrozierTBL | 16 | 14:02 | 0:53 | 2:21 | 2 | 1 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 19 | 13:46 | 0:43 | 1:08 | 5 | 4 |
 Nicolas RoyTOR | 18 | 13:13 | 0:44 | 1:09 | 1 | 4 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 19 | 13:03 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 0 | 7 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 18 | 13:00 | 0:43 | 1:57 | 0 | 3 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 16 | 12:52 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 0 | 5 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 17 | 11:11 | 0:39 | 1:20 | 0 | 1 |
 Dakota MermisTOR | 14 | 10:34 | 0:45 | 1:29 | 0 | 0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 12 | 9:30 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 1 | 0 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 12 | 9:17 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 0 | 2 |
 Dakota JoshuaTOR | 13 | 8:11 | 0:38 | 1:00 | 1 | 2 |
 Jack FinleyTBL | 11 | 6:39 | 0:36 | 0:57 | 0 | 0 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 8 | 5:25 | 0:41 | 1:03 | 0 | 0 |