Tue, Jan 6, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Colorado Avalanche 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 52% of the time.
44%
8%
9%
39%
TBL winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Cale MakarD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 26:04 | 0.20 | 53.1% | +17.4 |
 Nathan MacKinnonC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 22:37 | 0.14 | 65.2% | 0.0 |
 Brock NelsonC · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 22:14 | 0.60 | 22.4% | +17.4 |
 Martin NecasC · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:54 | 0.67 | 73.5% | 0.0 |
 Valeri NichushkinRW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:30 | 0.00 | 32.0% | 0.0 |
 Josh MansonD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:02 | 0.02 | 49.5% | 0.0 |
 Artturi LehkonenLW · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:55 | 0.19 | 67.5% | 0.0 |
 Sam MalinskiD · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:51 | 0.08 | 72.4% | 0.0 |
 Samuel GirardD · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.07 | 42.7% | 0.0 |
 Brent BurnsD · #84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:19 | 0.08 | 26.3% | 0.0 |
 Jack DruryC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.23 | 55.5% | 0.0 |
 Gavin BrindleyC · #54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:49 | 0.00 | 25.2% | 0.0 |
 Ilya SolovyovD · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:53 | 0.00 | 78.9% | +21.5 |
 Ross ColtonC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:34 | 0.33 | 48.1% | 0.0 |
 Victor OlofssonLW · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:54 | 0.18 | 47.7% | 0.0 |
 Parker KellyC · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:20 | 0.51 | 73.7% | +21.5 |
 Zakhar BardakovC · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 7:23 | 0.01 | 78.4% | +21.5 |
 Taylor MakarLW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 5:29 | 0.05 | 75.0% | 0.0 |
 Scott Wedgewood#41 | L | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.36 | −0.6 | 58:02 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 24:39 | 0.15 | 35.5% | +24.1 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 24:06 | 0.25 | 34.4% | 0.0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:10 | 0.06 | 72.6% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:18 | 0.07 | 56.9% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:38 | 0.85 | 49.4% | +19.3 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:39 | 0.26 | 74.3% | +41.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:50 | 0.31 | 43.4% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 16:20 | 0.09 | 40.4% | +55.4 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.01 | 53.6% | +19.8 |
 Max CrozierD · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:33 | 0.03 | 40.2% | +36.2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:40 | 0.11 | 52.6% | +19.8 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:27 | 0.08 | 54.3% | +19.8 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:05 | 0.74 | 73.0% | +4.8 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:43 | 0.16 | 31.4% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:12 | 0.15 | 29.2% | 0.0 |
 Dominic JamesC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.05 | 32.4% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:47 | 0.17 | 47.3% | 0.0 |
 Declan CarlileD · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:30 | 0.00 | 11.3% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 3.37 | +1.4 | 60:00 |