Mon, Jan 12, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Philadelphia Flyers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 75% of the time.
18%
68%
PHI winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 25:17 | 0.22 | 41.6% | +6.5 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 23:00 | 0.00 | 56.3% | 0.0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:31 | 0.06 | 45.6% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:21 | 0.31 | 36.9% | +21.1 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:16 | 0.07 | 47.3% | +14.8 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18:40 | 1.18 | 84.9% | +6.5 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.21 | 52.2% | +24.1 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:47 | 0.00 | 41.3% | +14.6 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:39 | 0.23 | 10.2% | +9.3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.07 | 42.0% | +14.6 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.39 | 43.7% | +0.2 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:59 | 0.38 | 41.3% | +14.6 |
 Declan CarlileD · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.01 | 42.8% | 0.0 |
 Max CrozierD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.00 | 52.6% | 0.0 |
 Dominic JamesC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:29 | 0.00 | 8.7% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:32 | 0.07 | 27.7% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:42 | 0.15 | 74.5% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:47 | 0.81 | 100.0% | +9.3 |
 Jonas Johansson#31 | W | 21 | 20 | 1 | .952 | 2.61 | +1.6 | 59:13 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Cam YorkD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 23:05 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus RistolainenD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 21:56 | 0.23 | 54.4% | 0.0 |
 Christian DvorakC · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:39 | 0.17 | 35.6% | +8.9 |
 Emil AndraeD · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:32 | 0.05 | 63.4% | 0.0 |
 Travis SanheimD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.06 | 59.9% | 0.0 |
 Trevor ZegrasC · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:35 | 0.25 | 35.8% | 0.0 |
 Owen TippettRW · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:48 | 0.44 | 98.6% | 0.0 |
 Noah JuulsenD · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:16 | 0.01 | 52.3% | 0.0 |
 Matvei MichkovRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:07 | 0.43 | 35.9% | 0.0 |
 Nick SeelerD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:59 | 0.01 | 43.2% | 0.0 |
 Sean CouturierC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.08 | 63.0% | 0.0 |
 Travis KonecnyRW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:21 | 0.36 | 35.1% | 0.0 |
 Noah CatesLW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:31 | 0.13 | 52.8% | 0.0 |
 Denver BarkeyC · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:29 | 0.00 | 98.1% | 0.0 |
 Carl GrundstromRW · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.02 | 23.2% | 0.0 |
 Rodrigo AbolsC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:14 | 0.37 | 85.8% | 0.0 |
 Nikita GrebenkinRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:50 | 0.00 | 65.6% | 0.0 |
 Garnet HathawayRW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:16 | 0.00 | 89.3% | 0.0 |
 Dan Vladar#80 | L | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 3.53 | −0.5 | 57:41 |