Mon, Jan 12, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Philadelphia Flyers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 75% of the time.
18%
68%
PHI winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
PHI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | Bjorkstrand–Paul–James | Guentzel–Cirelli–Hagel | Kucherov–Point–Goncalves | Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | Bjorkstrand–Goncalves–James | Raddysh–Moser | Cernak–D'Astous | Crozier–Carlile | Cernak–Carlile | Raddysh–D'Astous | D'Astous–Moser | Crozier–Moser | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dvorak–Konecny–Zegras | 1:420.32–0.00 | 1:020.08–0.00 | 2:460.00–0.15 | 0:490.00–0.53 | 0:520.00–0.13 | 4:050.22–0.16 | 2:100.27–0.65 | ||||||
| Couturier–Tippett–Barkey | 1:340.18–0.00 | 1:520.15–0.01 | 2:000.00–0.00 | 1:440.18–0.01 | 2:220.00–0.00 | 1:480.15–0.00 | |||||||
| Hathaway–Abols–Grebenkin | 2:590.35–0.07 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:190.01–0.07 | 1:000.35–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Grundstrom–Cates–Michkov | 2:530.00–0.38 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.30 | 1:330.00–0.08 | 0:580.00–0.08 | ||||||||
| Abols–Grundstrom–Barkey | 0:300.01–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Cates–Barkey–Michkov | 0:300.09–0.00 | 0:510.10–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Dvorak–Zegras–Michkov | 1:020.00–0.07 | 0:470.00–0.07 | |||||||||||
| Couturier–Tippett–Grebenkin | 0:350.05–0.00 | 0:400.05–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Juulsen–Andrae | 5:270.18–0.17 | 1:580.08–0.07 | 0:470.00–0.03 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.01 | 5:090.26–0.19 | 1:550.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 2:030.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.07 | 0:470.00–0.00 | ||
| Sanheim–York | 0:350.00–0.20 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 3:100.15–0.01 | 2:140.00–0.08 | 3:350.01–0.20 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 2:380.15–0.29 | ||||||
| Seeler–Ristolainen | 1:540.00–0.00 | 2:010.05–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.13 | 1:370.00–0.53 | 2:570.00–0.65 | 2:310.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Seeler–Sanheim | 1:330.16–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:010.32–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:490.11–0.00 | ||||||
| Ristolainen–York | 1:590.25–0.00 | 0:500.04–0.13 | 1:270.18–0.13 | 0:560.10–0.00 | |||||||||
| York–Andrae | 0:310.00–0.08 |
Every shift, one row per player.
PHITBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 24 | 25:17 | 1:03 | 2:48 | 3 | 4 |
 Cam YorkPHI | 29 | 23:05 | 0:48 | 1:56 | 3 | 5 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 26 | 23:00 | 0:53 | 1:32 | 4 | 6 |
 Rasmus RistolainenPHI | 30 | 21:56 | 0:44 | 1:55 | 1 | 3 |
 Christian DvorakPHI | 23 | 19:39 | 0:51 | 1:31 | 4 | 6 |
 Emil AndraePHI | 25 | 19:32 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 4 | 2 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 24 | 19:31 | 0:49 | 2:11 | 0 | 3 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 22 | 19:21 | 0:53 | 3:01 | 4 | 1 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 25 | 19:16 | 0:46 | 1:59 | 1 | 3 |
 Travis SanheimPHI | 29 | 19:12 | 0:40 | 1:49 | 3 | 4 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 19 | 18:40 | 0:59 | 2:47 | 4 | 0 |
 Trevor ZegrasPHI | 19 | 18:35 | 0:59 | 2:02 | 2 | 1 |
 Owen TippettPHI | 18 | 17:48 | 0:59 | 2:25 | 4 | 1 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 18 | 17:43 | 0:59 | 1:56 | 4 | 0 |
 Noah JuulsenPHI | 25 | 17:16 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 3 | 3 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 17 | 16:47 | 0:59 | 2:38 | 5 | 1 |
 Matvei MichkovPHI | 18 | 16:07 | 0:54 | 2:18 | 2 | 3 |
 Nick SeelerPHI | 23 | 15:59 | 0:42 | 1:20 | 1 | 2 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 14 | 15:39 | 1:07 | 2:00 | 3 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 17 | 15:16 | 0:54 | 1:55 | 5 | 1 |
 Sean CouturierPHI | 21 | 15:12 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 4 | 5 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 21 | 15:09 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 1 | 3 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 15 | 14:59 | 1:00 | 2:11 | 4 | 1 |
 Declan CarlileTBL | 19 | 14:45 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 2 | 0 |
 Travis KonecnyPHI | 18 | 14:21 | 0:48 | 1:59 | 1 | 1 |
 Max CrozierTBL | 17 | 13:54 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 2 | 1 |
 Noah CatesPHI | 20 | 13:31 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 0 | 2 |
 Denver BarkeyPHI | 17 | 13:29 | 0:48 | 1:11 | 2 | 0 |
 Dominic JamesTBL | 13 | 13:29 | 1:02 | 1:59 | 1 | 2 |
 Carl GrundstromPHI | 16 | 12:15 | 0:46 | 1:29 | 1 | 2 |
 Rodrigo AbolsPHI | 13 | 12:14 | 0:56 | 1:30 | 1 | 1 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 15 | 11:32 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 0 | 3 |
 Nikita GrebenkinPHI | 13 | 10:50 | 0:50 | 1:30 | 1 | 2 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 13 | 10:42 | 0:49 | 1:59 | 2 | 0 |
 Garnet HathawayPHI | 16 | 10:16 | 0:39 | 1:21 | 2 | 1 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 8 | 5:47 | 0:43 | 1:08 | 2 | 0 |