Fri, Mar 20, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 78% of the time.
16%
71%
TOR winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 K'Andre MillerD · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:58 | 0.19 | 73.2% | +20.5 |
 Jaccob SlavinD · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:58 | 0.01 | 25.0% | 0.0 |
 Jalen ChatfieldD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:07 | 0.10 | 46.5% | 0.0 |
 Sean WalkerD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:42 | 0.27 | 68.7% | 0.0 |
 Sebastian AhoC · #20 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:47 | 0.30 | 53.3% | +72.7 |
 Jordan StaalC · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.32 | 39.0% | +23.6 |
 Nikolaj EhlersLW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:00 | 0.09 | 41.7% | 0.0 |
 Seth JarvisRW · #24 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:56 | 0.39 | 53.3% | +72.7 |
 Taylor HallLW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:39 | 0.41 | 77.3% | 0.0 |
 Jackson BlakeRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:07 | 0.81 | 75.8% | 0.0 |
 Logan StankovenC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:32 | 0.44 | 75.9% | 0.0 |
 Jordan MartinookLW · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.00 | 37.9% | 0.0 |
 Andrei SvechnikovRW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:36 | 0.04 | 47.6% | 0.0 |
 Alexander NikishinD · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 0.28 | 67.5% | +49.1 |
 Mark JankowskiLW · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:40 | 0.03 | 13.4% | 0.0 |
 William CarrierLW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:32 | 0.02 | 33.3% | 0.0 |
 Mike ReillyD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:07 | 0.01 | 68.2% | 0.0 |
 Eric RobinsonLW · #50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 8:25 | 0.30 | 51.3% | +18.7 |
 Brandon Bussi#32 | W | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.20 | −0.8 | 60:41 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:55 | 0.06 | 61.9% | +18.9 |
 Troy StecherD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:41 | 0.16 | 28.6% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:28 | 0.00 | 25.3% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 20:39 | 0.31 | 52.5% | +28.9 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:01 | 0.14 | 27.1% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.08 | 46.7% | 0.0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 18:01 | 0.10 | 46.5% | 0.0 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.08 | 50.4% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:12 | 0.36 | 69.6% | +18.9 |
 Bo GroulxC · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:53 | 0.14 | 20.3% | +16.2 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:36 | 0.15 | 52.2% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:46 | 0.00 | 48.6% | +18.9 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.00 | 35.4% | +45.1 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:21 | 0.10 | 66.5% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:18 | 0.14 | 52.6% | 0.0 |
 Dakota JoshuaC · #81 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:25 | 0.29 | 29.5% | +16.2 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:39 | 0.09 | 56.9% | 0.0 |
 Jacob QuillanC · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:12 | 0.00 | 46.4% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | O | 36 | 32 | 4 | .889 | 4.00 | 0.0 | 60:41 |