Fri, Mar 20, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 78% of the time.
16%
71%
TOR winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Staal–Martinook–Ehlers | Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis | Hall–Stankoven–Blake | Jankowski–Carrier–Robinson | Slavin–Chatfield | Walker–Miller | Reilly–Nikishin | Slavin–Nikishin | Slavin–Walker | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domi–Nylander–Knies | 0:460.00–0.00 | 5:430.11–0.24 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 5:160.17–0.17 | 3:090.00–0.04 | |||
| Jarnkrok–Lorentz–Quillan | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:320.03–0.10 | 4:320.08–0.00 | 1:270.04–0.10 | 3:160.07–0.12 | 1:430.00–0.00 | |||
| Joshua–Groulx–Maccelli | 4:290.36–0.24 | 1:310.00–0.65 | 1:410.00–0.01 | 1:380.00–0.10 | 3:190.36–0.71 | ||||
| Tavares–Robertson–Cowan | 1:310.03–0.03 | 3:190.19–0.12 | 1:060.13–0.03 | 3:560.16–0.04 | 2:350.10–0.15 | ||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Maccelli | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Groulx–Robertson–Cowan | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Tavares–Jarnkrok–Lorentz | 0:540.00–0.00 | 1:080.14–0.00 | |||||||
| Domi–Joshua–Knies | 0:430.10–0.00 | ||||||||
| Domi–Nylander–Maccelli | 0:350.26–0.00 | ||||||||
| Stecher–Benoit | 3:240.12–0.11 | 2:040.00–0.12 | 3:390.09–0.88 | 2:010.10–0.00 | 3:500.09–0.05 | 4:100.00–0.34 | 3:410.12–0.78 | ||
| Ekman-Larsson–McCabe | 1:550.20–0.00 | 4:210.25–0.25 | 0:440.08–0.00 | 1:580.01–0.00 | 5:310.32–0.14 | 2:460.08–0.00 | 0:500.20–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |
| Rielly–Carlo | 3:170.14–0.16 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:400.02–0.18 | 1:270.13–0.03 | 2:220.24–0.09 | 4:300.02–0.20 | 0:580.04–0.01 | ||
| McCabe–Carlo | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:400.26–0.00 | 1:080.13–0.19 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.04 | 0:300.26–0.00 | |||
| Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.04 | 1:030.03–0.10 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||
| Rielly–Stecher | 1:260.07–0.00 | 1:260.07–0.00 | |||||||
| Rielly–McCabe | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Benoit | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 K'Andre MillerCAR | 27 | 23:58 | 0:53 | 1:54 | 2 | 2 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 26 | 23:58 | 0:55 | 1:26 | 2 | 3 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 27 | 22:55 | 0:51 | 1:19 | 1 | 5 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 23 | 22:07 | 0:58 | 1:38 | 2 | 4 |
 Troy StecherTOR | 27 | 21:41 | 0:48 | 1:52 | 1 | 5 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 26 | 21:28 | 0:50 | 1:54 | 1 | 2 |
 Sean WalkerCAR | 27 | 20:42 | 0:46 | 1:45 | 3 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 19 | 20:39 | 1:05 | 1:52 | 1 | 0 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 21 | 20:01 | 0:57 | 1:51 | 1 | 3 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 22 | 18:47 | 0:51 | 1:33 | 4 | 1 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 24 | 18:33 | 0:46 | 1:39 | 4 | 3 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 25 | 18:03 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 3 | 3 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 23 | 18:01 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 1 | 3 |
 Nikolaj EhlersCAR | 22 | 18:00 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 2 | 2 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 22 | 17:56 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 5 | 1 |
 Taylor HallCAR | 18 | 17:39 | 0:59 | 3:05 | 2 | 1 |
 Jackson BlakeCAR | 17 | 17:07 | 1:00 | 1:57 | 1 | 1 |
 Logan StankovenCAR | 18 | 16:32 | 0:55 | 1:53 | 1 | 2 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 22 | 16:31 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 0 | 3 |
 Brandon CarloTOR | 24 | 16:24 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 3 | 4 |
 John TavaresTOR | 19 | 16:12 | 0:51 | 1:26 | 3 | 3 |
 Bo GroulxTOR | 19 | 15:53 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 1 | 1 |
 Max DomiTOR | 18 | 15:36 | 0:52 | 1:40 | 1 | 1 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 17 | 14:46 | 0:52 | 1:25 | 1 | 6 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 19 | 14:36 | 0:46 | 1:36 | 5 | 1 |
 Alexander NikishinCAR | 22 | 14:23 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 5 | 2 |
 Matias MaccelliTOR | 16 | 12:59 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 2 | 0 |
 Easton CowanTOR | 15 | 12:21 | 0:49 | 1:16 | 2 | 0 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 18 | 12:18 | 0:41 | 1:18 | 1 | 7 |
 Dakota JoshuaTOR | 17 | 11:25 | 0:40 | 1:17 | 2 | 0 |
 Mark JankowskiCAR | 14 | 10:40 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 1 | 4 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 13 | 10:39 | 0:49 | 1:17 | 1 | 0 |
 Jacob QuillanTOR | 12 | 10:12 | 0:51 | 1:15 | 0 | 2 |
 William CarrierCAR | 13 | 9:32 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 1 | 3 |
 Mike ReillyCAR | 14 | 9:07 | 0:39 | 0:53 | 0 | 2 |
 Eric RobinsonCAR | 12 | 8:25 | 0:42 | 1:02 | 1 | 3 |