Thu, Oct 1, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Rangers 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 72% of the time.
65%
21%
NYR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 24:07 | 0.21 | 59.3% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:02 | 0.23 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 23:41 | 0.15 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:40 | 0.23 | 74.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 22:38 | 0.23 | 38.0% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:56 | 0.19 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:07 | 0.00 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:45 | 0.04 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.14 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.02 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:59 | 0.55 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:54 | 0.13 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:32 | 0.00 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.04 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 10:56 | 0.18 | 48.0% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:55 | 0.17 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 8:49 | 0.14 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:39 | 0.00 | 59.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 2.82 | −1.2 | 55:52 |
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:20 | 0.00 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:38 | 0.49 | 69.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:54 | 0.00 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:04 | 0.29 | 64.6% | +18.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:53 | 0.44 | 68.7% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 18:48 | 0.03 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:14 | 0.00 | 67.1% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:33 | 0.49 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:15 | 0.26 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:47 | 0.00 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.11 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:18 | 0.05 | 73.5% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:12 | 0.63 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 14:09 | 0.00 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13:44 | 0.66 | 51.9% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.07 | 56.2% | +12.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:46 | 0.11 | 67.0% | +6.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:18 | 0.13 | 24.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 2.65 | +1.7 | 60:00 |