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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 1, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Rangers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 72% of the time.

NYR winsTBL wins

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Nikita KucherovRW · #86101−1124:070.2159.3%+6.9
Jake GuentzelC · #59000−1324:020.2326.8%0.0
John CarlsonD · #74000−2423:410.1536.2%0.0
Brandon HagelLW · #38000−1323:400.2374.2%0.0
Brayden PointC · #21011−1122:380.2338.0%+6.9
Anthony CirelliC · #710000319:560.1975.7%0.0
Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #510000019:070.0052.1%0.0
Victor HedmanD · #770000217:450.0447.6%0.0
Erik CernakD · #81000−1116:000.1447.4%0.0
Ryan McDonaghD · #27000−1115:460.0266.4%0.0
Pontus HolmbergRW · #29000−1314:590.5539.0%0.0
J.J. MoserD · #90000−1014:540.1330.9%0.0
Conor GeekieC · #940000012:320.0031.7%0.0
Gage GoncalvesC · #93000−1012:090.0434.3%0.0
Ilya MikheyevRW · #95011−1010:560.1848.0%+6.9
Jansen HarkinsC · #10000−1110:550.1730.3%0.0
Jeffrey VielLW · #25000−218:490.1451.6%0.0
Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28000−107:390.0059.2%0.0
Andrei Vasilevskiy#88L24204.8332.82−1.255:52

New York Rangers

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Vladislav GavrikovD · #440000023:200.0061.9%0.0
Marcus PetterssonD · #26000+1121:380.4969.8%0.0
Sean DurziD · #50000020:540.0065.8%0.0
Adam FoxD · #230220019:040.2964.6%+18.0
Mika ZibanejadC · #93112+1318:530.4468.7%+18.0
Braden SchneiderD · #4000+2318:480.0336.7%0.0
Noah LabaC · #42011+1016:140.0067.1%+7.8
J.T. MillerC · #10000+1115:330.4956.2%0.0
Alexis LafrenièreLW · #13000+1315:150.2668.9%0.0
Tye KartyeLW · #240000014:470.0026.8%0.0
Joseph VelenoC · #900000114:450.1124.9%0.0
Eeli TolvanenRW · #17101+2114:180.0573.5%+7.8
Will CuylleLW · #50000+1314:120.6374.6%0.0
Alberts SmitsD · #12000+3014:090.0042.8%0.0
Pavel DorofeyevRW · #161120513:440.6651.9%+24.4
Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #28011+1112:250.0756.2%+12.4
Gabe PerreaultRW · #94101+1110:460.1167.0%+6.0
Jaroslav ChmelarRW · #49000016:180.1324.8%0.0
Igor Shesterkin#31W24231.9582.65+1.760:00