Sat, Oct 24, 2009·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.
44%
11%
11%
35%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29:18 | 0.05 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26:11 | 0.00 | – | +46.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:42 | 0.04 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:07 | 0.09 | – | +46.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:57 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:49 | 0.16 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 18:15 | 0.24 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:06 | 0.18 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17:44 | 0.42 | – | +46.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:49 | 0.11 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:48 | 0.06 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:34 | 0.04 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:17 | 0.15 | – | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:15 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 13:09 | 0.25 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:32 | 0.04 | – | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:52 | 0.11 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:32 | 0.05 | – | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.22 | +0.2 | 64:03 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28:19 | 0.07 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27:25 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:04 | 0.39 | – | +17.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:31 | 0.39 | – | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:00 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:53 | 0.60 | – | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:19 | 0.23 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:13 | 0.06 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:05 | 0.01 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:05 | 0.16 | – | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:00 | 0.05 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:59 | 0.05 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:06 | 0.04 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.01 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.07 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:58 | 0.09 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:34 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
| O | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 1.97 | 0.0 | 65:00 |
Shift data for this game is incomplete, so on-ice figures are not shown.