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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 16, 2010·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Calgary Flames 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 77% of the time.

CGY winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

MacArthur–Grabovski–KuleminArmstrong–Kessel–BozakMitchell–Versteeg–KadriOrr–Sjostrom–BrentArmstrong–Versteeg–KadriSjostrom–Brent–MitchellVersteeg–Kessel–BozakOrr–Armstrong–KadriMitchell–Kessel–BozakMacArthur–Kessel–BozakBeauchemin–PhaneufKaberle–SchennLebda–AulieBeauchemin–SchennAulie–Schenn
Iginla–Tanguay–Stajan6:460.64–0.260:370.00–0.002:220.03–0.021:290.13–0.026:350.63–0.263:140.10–0.000:470.14–0.020:550.13–0.000:340.04–0.00
Jokinen–Hagman–Bourque6:250.09–0.050:340.00–0.000:360.00–0.060:310.00–0.001:230.00–0.003:550.03–0.023:080.00–0.012:500.06–0.09
Morrison–Kotalik–Backlund2:210.16–0.064:250.16–0.100:480.12–0.000:420.00–0.000:450.11–0.031:370.02–0.003:020.22–0.004:500.17–0.13
Kostopoulos–Jackman–Moss0:450.04–0.001:380.07–0.013:500.09–0.001:040.00–0.030:460.00–0.002:220.00–0.033:340.08–0.003:150.14–0.01
Jokinen–Kostopoulos–Bourque0:410.47–0.000:410.47–0.00
Iginla–Jokinen–Tanguay0:450.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Sarich–Giordano1:030.14–0.006:100.15–0.030:320.00–0.021:390.10–0.000:380.00–0.000:530.00–0.001:350.11–0.061:230.00–0.005:550.03–0.026:160.20–0.053:290.17–0.11
Babchuk–Pardy6:070.28–0.112:460.10–0.001:560.03–0.110:550.13–0.001:050.00–0.032:310.00–0.003:270.15–0.007:010.17–0.260:450.13–0.00
Regehr–Bouwmeester6:330.22–0.090:450.04–0.021:300.24–0.000:320.00–0.000:550.00–0.020:480.00–0.030:530.00–0.000:420.47–0.005:170.20–0.074:580.54–0.022:420.21–0.020:550.04–0.00
Bouwmeester–Giordano1:040.04–0.150:440.00–0.000:470.00–0.151:080.04–0.00
Bouwmeester–Pardy0:390.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndIginla FStajan FTanguay FHagman FJokinen FBourque FMorrison FBacklund FKotalik FJackman FKostopoulos FMoss FBouwmeester DRegehr DGiordano DSarich DPardy DBabchuk DKiprusoff GMacArthur FKulemin FGrabovski FArmstrong FBozak FKessel FVersteeg FMitchell FKadri FSjostrom FOrr FBrent FPhaneuf DBeauchemin DSchenn DKaberle DLebda DAulie DGiguere GGustavsson G
CGYTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mark GiordanoCGY3123:260:451:3233
Jay BouwmeesterCGY2722:360:501:4900
Dion PhaneufTOR2922:290:471:4513
Francois BeaucheminTOR3021:240:431:1015
Luke SchennTOR3121:030:411:0613
Tomas KaberleTOR3020:420:411:3012
Jarome IginlaCGY2219:060:521:3600
Phil KesselTOR2118:590:541:3011
Anton BabchukCGY2418:440:471:2060
Robyn RegehrCGY2618:420:431:3600
Tyler BozakTOR2318:280:481:1013
Cory SarichCGY2818:230:391:1613
Alex TanguayCGY2318:010:471:1400
Olli JokinenCGY2217:430:481:1222
Colby ArmstrongTOR2217:270:481:3402
Adam PardyCGY2117:200:501:1530
Brett LebdaTOR2617:000:391:2122
Rene BourqueCGY2116:300:471:2911
Nazem KadriTOR1816:270:551:5002
Keith AulieTOR2716:140:361:0611
Matt StajanCGY2116:020:461:1910
Kris VersteegTOR1815:580:531:2213
Mikhail GrabovskiTOR2215:000:411:1110
Niklas HagmanCGY2114:480:421:1122
Nikolay KuleminTOR2213:490:381:0010
Clarke MacArthurTOR2113:460:392:0010
Tom KostopoulosCGY1813:350:451:2042
Mikael BacklundCGY1813:200:441:1620
Brendan MorrisonCGY1812:510:431:0621
John MitchellTOR1712:380:451:1704
Tim BrentTOR1412:190:531:4413
Ales KotalikCGY1712:020:421:0630
Fredrik SjostromTOR1511:560:481:0512
Tim JackmanCGY1511:280:461:0341
David MossCGY1511:260:461:2941
Colton OrrTOR139:590:461:2011