Thu, Nov 20, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Edmonton Oilers 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.
51%
8%
33%
TBL winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28:07 | 0.12 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:17 | 0.06 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:06 | 0.70 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:14 | 0.10 | 38.1% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:35 | 0.54 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:06 | 0.15 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:38 | 0.02 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:25 | 0.32 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:32 | 0.14 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:38 | 0.07 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:46 | 0.00 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:33 | 0.13 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.13 | 47.5% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:37 | 0.21 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:14 | 0.00 | 11.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:03 | 0.05 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:46 | 0.02 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:35 | 0.02 | 35.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 3.34 | +1.3 | 61:43 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 27:38 | 0.12 | 65.8% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 23:37 | 0.42 | 57.1% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:08 | 0.02 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:51 | 0.00 | 80.6% | +34.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:32 | 0.18 | 51.4% | +34.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:39 | 0.38 | 60.3% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:24 | 0.72 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:04 | 0.26 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:24 | 0.55 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:21 | 0.34 | 64.4% | +34.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:42 | 0.03 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:48 | 0.16 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:45 | 0.00 | 8.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:46 | 0.01 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.16 | 80.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:04 | 0.00 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:56 | 0.00 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:32 | 0.00 | 51.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 24 | 1 | .960 | 2.78 | +1.8 | 61:43 |