Thu, Nov 20, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Edmonton Oilers 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.
51%
8%
33%
TBL winsEDM wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against EDM's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Draisaitl–Mangiapane–Podkolzin | Hyman–McDavid–Roslovic | Henrique–Frederic–Savoie | Janmark–Frederic–Tomasek | Henrique–Roslovic–Savoie | Hyman–McDavid–Frederic | Hyman–Draisaitl–McDavid | Hyman–Janmark–McDavid | Draisaitl–Roslovic–Podkolzin | Janmark–Roslovic–Tomasek | Roslovic–Podkolzin–Tomasek | Ekholm–Bouchard | Kulak–Emberson | Walman–Regula | Nurse–Regula | Nurse–Bouchard | Nurse–Walman | Kulak–Nurse | Ekholm–Nurse | Ekholm–Walman | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | 1:350.15–0.06 | 5:150.78–0.14 | 1:440.00–0.04 | 0:400.05–0.00 | 0:370.02–0.00 | 5:330.91–0.36 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:320.17–0.14 | 0:490.02–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Gourde–Girgensons–Bjorkstrand | 2:470.00–0.07 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:270.08–0.03 | 1:270.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.05 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Guentzel–Point–James | 1:210.17–0.10 | 1:160.07–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 2:060.15–0.10 | 1:100.14–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Guentzel–Paul–Point | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:320.04–0.09 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.09 | 2:290.00–0.06 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:420.04–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Guentzel–Point–Goncalves | 0:430.14–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Gourde–Girgensons–Douglas | 1:130.03–0.00 | 1:130.03–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Bjorkstrand–Paul–Goncalves | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.04 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Douglas–Goncalves–James | 0:580.03–0.05 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Kucherov–Paul–Goncalves | 0:510.00–0.07 | 0:420.00–0.07 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Guentzel–Paul–Cirelli | 1:000.05–0.00 | 0:530.05–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Paul–Goncalves–James | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Raddysh–Moser | 1:220.00–0.10 | 6:400.82–0.23 | 1:050.11–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.04 | 1:250.05–0.00 | 1:340.03–0.00 | 0:370.02–0.00 | 8:320.78–0.12 | 0:450.00–0.03 | 1:200.17–0.18 | 0:360.00–0.01 | 0:490.02–0.00 | 0:420.04–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | ||||||
| D'Astous–Lilleberg | 5:280.17–0.17 | 1:430.07–0.05 | 1:080.05–0.00 | 0:570.02–0.06 | 2:260.00–0.40 | 3:460.17–0.28 | 1:470.05–0.01 | 1:590.14–0.05 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:430.14–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Santini–Carlile | 1:060.00–0.07 | 2:330.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 4:350.00–0.01 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Raddysh–D'Astous | 0:360.00–0.09 | 0:390.09–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Lilleberg–Carlile | 1:090.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Moser–Lilleberg | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:040.15–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Raddysh–Carlile | 0:490.00–0.20 | 0:460.00–0.20 | ||||||||||||||||||
| D'Astous–Carlile | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| D'Astous–Moser |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLEDMFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Evan BouchardEDM | 31 | 28:07 | 0:54 | 2:38 | 5 | 6 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 26 | 27:38 | 1:04 | 2:29 | 3 | 5 |
 Mattias EkholmEDM | 29 | 24:17 | 0:50 | 2:01 | 2 | 4 |
 Connor McDavidEDM | 24 | 24:06 | 1:00 | 2:49 | 5 | 4 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 25 | 23:37 | 0:57 | 2:07 | 5 | 3 |
 Leon DraisaitlEDM | 27 | 23:14 | 0:52 | 2:00 | 6 | 5 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 26 | 22:08 | 0:51 | 2:16 | 4 | 1 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 26 | 21:51 | 0:50 | 1:54 | 2 | 7 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 25 | 21:32 | 0:52 | 2:17 | 7 | 2 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 22 | 20:39 | 0:56 | 1:36 | 7 | 4 |
 Zach HymanEDM | 22 | 20:35 | 0:56 | 2:50 | 5 | 2 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 21 | 20:24 | 0:58 | 1:36 | 7 | 4 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 27 | 20:04 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 3 | 4 |
 Adam HenriqueEDM | 21 | 18:06 | 0:52 | 2:43 | 2 | 5 |
 Brett KulakEDM | 24 | 17:38 | 0:44 | 1:29 | 3 | 2 |
 Jack RoslovicEDM | 22 | 17:25 | 0:48 | 2:03 | 3 | 1 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 27 | 17:24 | 0:39 | 1:03 | 3 | 1 |
 Vasily PodkolzinEDM | 22 | 16:32 | 0:45 | 1:31 | 3 | 3 |
 Matt SavoieEDM | 20 | 15:38 | 0:47 | 1:55 | 1 | 4 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 21 | 15:21 | 0:44 | 1:33 | 2 | 5 |
 Ty EmbersonEDM | 19 | 14:46 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 2 | 2 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 17 | 14:42 | 0:52 | 1:44 | 3 | 3 |
 Darnell NurseEDM | 21 | 14:33 | 0:42 | 1:08 | 3 | 4 |
 Trent FredericEDM | 18 | 13:57 | 0:47 | 1:36 | 2 | 3 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 15 | 13:48 | 0:55 | 1:44 | 4 | 1 |
 Declan CarlileTBL | 16 | 13:45 | 0:52 | 2:06 | 2 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 15 | 12:46 | 0:51 | 1:47 | 3 | 3 |
 Andrew MangiapaneEDM | 20 | 12:37 | 0:38 | 1:09 | 3 | 3 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 15 | 11:58 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 0 | 3 |
 Dominic JamesTBL | 15 | 11:04 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 5 | 2 |
 Mattias JanmarkEDM | 15 | 10:14 | 0:41 | 1:41 | 2 | 1 |
 Jake WalmanEDM | 14 | 10:03 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 1 | 3 |
 Steven SantiniTBL | 13 | 8:56 | 0:41 | 1:24 | 0 | 3 |
 David TomasekEDM | 13 | 8:46 | 0:40 | 1:13 | 2 | 1 |
 Alec RegulaEDM | 15 | 8:35 | 0:34 | 0:55 | 1 | 3 |
 Curtis DouglasTBL | 6 | 3:32 | 0:35 | 1:18 | 0 | 1 |