Sat, Mar 14, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 76% of the time.
18%
69%
TBL winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jaccob SlavinD · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 24:16 | 0.00 | 71.0% | 0.0 |
 K'Andre MillerD · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 24:05 | 0.03 | 58.8% | +14.5 |
 Jalen ChatfieldD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:10 | 0.04 | 66.6% | 0.0 |
 Sebastian AhoC · #20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:28 | 0.22 | 52.7% | +29.0 |
 Sean WalkerD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:13 | 0.11 | 57.8% | +14.6 |
 Andrei SvechnikovRW · #37 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 19:24 | 0.58 | 52.6% | +29.0 |
 Jackson BlakeRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 17:56 | 0.66 | 55.4% | 0.0 |
 Seth JarvisRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:14 | 0.18 | 42.2% | 0.0 |
 Logan StankovenC · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.66 | 61.1% | +8.4 |
 Nikolaj EhlersLW · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.22 | 98.1% | +25.2 |
 Taylor HallLW · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:17 | 0.44 | 60.8% | +8.4 |
 Alexander NikishinD · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:03 | 0.04 | 61.6% | 0.0 |
 Jordan MartinookLW · #48 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:45 | 0.15 | 98.0% | +25.2 |
 Jordan StaalC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:35 | 0.23 | 97.4% | 0.0 |
 Mike ReillyD · #6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:31 | 0.03 | 64.3% | +25.2 |
 Eric RobinsonLW · #50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:13 | 0.00 | 66.6% | 0.0 |
 Mark JankowskiLW · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:53 | 0.06 | 66.6% | 0.0 |
 William CarrierLW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:13 | 0.31 | 67.2% | 0.0 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | W | 19 | 17 | 2 | .895 | 2.35 | +0.3 | 59:34 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:14 | 0.00 | 48.6% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:55 | 0.03 | 44.3% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:00 | 0.73 | 53.3% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:22 | 0.22 | 40.1% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:30 | 0.18 | 30.3% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:27 | 0.07 | 21.6% | +16.2 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:11 | 0.06 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.19 | 29.4% | +19.4 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:35 | 0.09 | 28.1% | +19.4 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:13 | 0.00 | 16.7% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:01 | 0.00 | 29.1% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.00 | 32.1% | +19.4 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:20 | 0.28 | 49.1% | +16.2 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:19 | 0.12 | 18.8% | 0.0 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:02 | 0.00 | 32.9% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.03 | 54.3% | +16.2 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:57 | 0.08 | 32.9% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:20 | 0.26 | 69.5% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | L | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 3.54 | +0.5 | 58:48 |