Tue, Apr 7, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Ottawa Senators 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 88% of the time.
83%
OTT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 20:42 | 0.11 | 41.0% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:29 | 0.30 | 56.2% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:23 | 0.05 | 45.6% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:55 | 0.03 | 50.2% | 0.0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:43 | 0.12 | 36.4% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:41 | 0.04 | 66.4% | +29.2 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:22 | 0.01 | 38.2% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:05 | 0.01 | 43.8% | +11.5 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:33 | 0.16 | 59.3% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:13 | 0.03 | 26.2% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.05 | 29.7% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:01 | 0.15 | 30.0% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:52 | 0.07 | 49.3% | 0.0 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.06 | 40.7% | +40.7 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 13:27 | 0.38 | 56.9% | +40.7 |
 Conor GeekieC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:29 | 0.00 | 37.8% | 0.0 |
 Jakob PelletierLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:22 | 0.30 | 39.4% | 0.0 |
 Dylan DukeLW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:22 | 0.05 | 29.1% | 0.0 |
 Jonas Johansson#31 | L | 31 | 26 | 5 | .839 | 3.65 | −1.3 | 58:46 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake SandersonD · #85 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 24:08 | 0.80 | 54.3% | +14.7 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:58 | 0.00 | 45.2% | 0.0 |
 Jordan SpenceD · #10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:59 | 0.11 | 61.2% | +27.9 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloD · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:55 | 0.08 | 54.3% | 0.0 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18:31 | 0.24 | 78.5% | +52.3 |
 Shane PintoC · #12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:20 | 0.91 | 47.6% | +0.1 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 17:17 | 0.20 | 67.2% | +13.1 |
 Ridly GreigC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:02 | 0.39 | 62.2% | 0.0 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 3 | 16:42 | 0.68 | 68.4% | +74.6 |
 Michael AmadioRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:34 | 0.10 | 54.5% | 0.0 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:21 | 0.41 | 61.7% | +11.4 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:31 | 0.15 | 45.0% | 0.0 |
 Cameron CrottyD · #5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:50 | 0.02 | 66.2% | +32.0 |
 Lassi ThomsonD · #60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:10 | 0.01 | 61.0% | 0.0 |
 Nick CousinsC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:44 | 0.20 | 67.7% | 0.0 |
 Lars EllerC · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:12 | 0.05 | 35.4% | 0.0 |
 Fabian ZetterlundLW · #20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:23 | 0.16 | 47.4% | +32.0 |
 Warren FoegeleLW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:23 | 0.15 | 34.9% | 0.0 |
 Linus Ullmark#35 | W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 1.94 | −0.1 | 60:00 |