Tue, Apr 7, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Ottawa Senators 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 88% of the time.
83%
OTT winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gourde–Girgensons–Bjorkstrand | Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | Perry–Paul–Goncalves | Pelletier–Duke–Geekie | Kucherov–Gourde–Girgensons | Kucherov–Guentzel–Geekie | Raddysh–Moser | D'Astous–Lilleberg | McDonagh–Cernak | Cernak–D'Astous | Moser–Lilleberg | Raddysh–D'Astous | McDonagh–Lilleberg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tkachuk–Cozens–Greig | 4:130.00–0.14 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 2:270.11–0.15 | 1:040.40–0.00 | 1:560.12–0.13 | 4:160.29–0.12 | 3:360.28–0.04 | ||||||
| Giroux–Batherson–Stützle | 2:520.24–0.12 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:290.08–0.04 | 2:230.06–0.00 | 2:170.15–0.00 | 4:200.07–0.06 | 1:320.15–0.06 | 1:000.00–0.04 | |||||
| Cousins–Amadio–Pinto | 1:100.30–0.00 | 5:280.18–0.17 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 4:140.56–0.10 | 1:390.02–0.04 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.03 | ||||||
| Eller–Foegele–Zetterlund | 1:150.02–0.01 | 1:490.07–0.26 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:150.14–0.06 | 2:350.03–0.06 | 0:470.00–0.21 | |||||||
| Giroux–Amadio–Pinto | 1:510.00–0.23 | 1:490.00–0.18 | |||||||||||
| Batherson–Tkachuk–Stützle | 0:440.14–0.00 | 0:360.01–0.00 | 0:490.12–0.00 | 1:080.14–0.00 | |||||||||
| Giroux–Cozens–Greig | 1:020.00–0.14 | ||||||||||||
| Zetterlund–Batherson–Stützle | 0:370.00–0.06 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.06 | |||||||||
| Eller–Amadio–Pinto | 1:070.05–0.17 | 1:070.05–0.17 | |||||||||||
| Eller–Cousins–Foegele | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Sanderson–Zub | 0:480.09–0.00 | 8:210.18–0.55 | 1:040.01–0.02 | 6:290.35–0.42 | 3:270.02–0.04 | 1:260.00–0.02 | 0:350.06–0.17 | 0:540.00–0.03 | |||||
| Spence–Matinpalo | 4:230.00–0.14 | 3:290.19–0.14 | 1:330.06–0.00 | 2:090.12–0.13 | 5:260.19–0.18 | 2:540.00–0.03 | 1:070.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Crotty–Thomson | 1:530.20–0.09 | 1:450.00–0.06 | 4:280.51–0.26 | 0:430.20–0.00 | 2:170.17–0.00 | 6:000.32–0.25 | 0:590.00–0.21 | ||||||
| Spence–Sanderson | 1:010.29–0.00 | 0:440.06–0.00 | 2:080.18–0.13 | 1:560.32–0.00 | |||||||||
| Zub–Matinpalo | 1:090.00–0.03 | 1:320.00–0.03 | 1:170.00–0.04 | ||||||||||
| Crotty–Spence | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:500.02–0.00 | 1:060.02–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Spence–Zub | 0:350.05–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Crotty–Zub | 0:300.12–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake SandersonOTT | 30 | 24:08 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 8 | 6 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 30 | 23:58 | 0:48 | 1:47 | 2 | 6 |
 Jordan SpenceOTT | 28 | 22:59 | 0:49 | 2:05 | 6 | 1 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 22 | 20:42 | 0:56 | 2:10 | 6 | 2 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 25 | 20:29 | 0:49 | 1:55 | 6 | 4 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 24 | 20:23 | 0:51 | 2:08 | 5 | 2 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 24 | 19:55 | 0:50 | 1:34 | 2 | 2 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 24 | 19:43 | 0:49 | 1:34 | 2 | 2 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 24 | 19:41 | 0:49 | 2:09 | 7 | 2 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloOTT | 28 | 18:55 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 4 | 1 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 24 | 18:31 | 0:46 | 1:36 | 7 | 1 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 23 | 18:22 | 0:48 | 1:19 | 1 | 6 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 26 | 18:05 | 0:42 | 1:47 | 3 | 7 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 22 | 17:33 | 0:48 | 1:43 | 8 | 1 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 25 | 17:20 | 0:42 | 1:35 | 3 | 6 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 24 | 17:17 | 0:43 | 1:36 | 7 | 1 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 23 | 17:13 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 0 | 8 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 25 | 17:02 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 4 | 5 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 24 | 16:42 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 8 | 3 |
 Michael AmadioOTT | 25 | 16:34 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 2 | 6 |
 Dylan CozensOTT | 26 | 16:21 | 0:38 | 1:25 | 7 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 22 | 15:46 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 0 | 8 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 24 | 15:31 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 6 | 3 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 18 | 15:01 | 0:50 | 1:18 | 1 | 5 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 20 | 14:52 | 0:45 | 2:11 | 3 | 2 |
 Cameron CrottyOTT | 21 | 14:50 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 1 | 4 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 17 | 14:17 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 3 | 0 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 19 | 13:27 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 2 | 4 |
 Lassi ThomsonOTT | 22 | 13:10 | 0:36 | 0:58 | 4 | 4 |
 Nick CousinsOTT | 20 | 11:44 | 0:35 | 0:52 | 1 | 2 |
 Conor GeekieTBL | 16 | 11:29 | 0:43 | 0:59 | 4 | 1 |
 Lars EllerOTT | 21 | 11:12 | 0:32 | 1:01 | 3 | 8 |
 Jakob PelletierTBL | 16 | 10:22 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 4 | 1 |
 Fabian ZetterlundOTT | 16 | 9:23 | 0:35 | 0:56 | 3 | 2 |
 Dylan DukeTBL | 14 | 9:22 | 0:40 | 1:04 | 4 | 1 |
 Warren FoegeleOTT | 16 | 8:23 | 0:31 | 0:59 | 4 | 3 |