Sat, Oct 3, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Washington Capitals 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 85% of the time.
80%
10%
TBL winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Wilson–Tuch–Dubois | Ovechkin–Strome–Leonard | Jenner–Beauvillier–Sourdif | Kyrou–Protas–Protas | Jenner–Strome–Leonard | Roy–Chychrun | Desharnais–Hutson | Liljegren–Fehérváry | Chychrun–Liljegren | Fehérváry–Hutson | Chychrun–Fehérváry | Chychrun–Desharnais | Chychrun–Hutson | Liljegren–Hutson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kucherov–Point–Goncalves | 3:570.31–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.03 | 2:390.03–0.05 | 3:490.32–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.05 | 1:090.03–0.02 | 0:390.00–0.03 | 1:100.08–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.00 | |||||
| Girgensons–Holmberg–Mikheyev | 5:200.44–0.10 | 1:050.16–0.01 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:510.27–0.03 | 1:490.28–0.01 | 2:000.05–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.04 | |||||||
| Guentzel–Cirelli–Hagel | 1:020.03–0.05 | 2:280.15–0.00 | 1:580.23–0.14 | 1:100.05–0.00 | 2:480.08–0.05 | 2:040.18–0.00 | 0:570.07–0.14 | |||||||
| Viel–Goncalves–Geekie | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.02 | |||||||||||
| Viel–Holmberg–Geekie | 0:570.04–0.00 | 0:340.28–0.00 | 0:410.04–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Guentzel–Viel–Geekie | 0:530.08–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Carlson–Moser | 0:380.00–0.08 | 3:150.27–0.00 | 2:320.08–0.03 | 2:480.03–0.05 | 3:010.30–0.00 | 1:510.00–0.05 | 2:160.07–0.02 | 0:440.00–0.03 | 1:560.08–0.05 | 1:410.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:440.06–0.00 | ||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 4:110.27–0.10 | 1:180.20–0.00 | 2:060.31–0.02 | 1:400.16–0.11 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.04 | 0:310.04–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.18 | ||||||
| Hedman–Cernak | 3:020.45–0.05 | 1:270.08–0.11 | 1:330.39–0.08 | 0:320.10–0.00 | 0:440.08–0.00 | 0:410.07–0.00 | ||||||||
| D'Astous–Lilleberg | 0:530.27–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.03 | 0:370.04–0.00 | 1:020.21–0.03 | 1:340.14–0.00 | 0:570.04–0.00 | ||||||||
| McDonagh–D'Astous | 1:330.02–0.00 | 0:530.02–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.02 | |||||||||||
| Hedman–D'Astous | 0:470.00–0.14 | 0:470.00–0.14 | 0:400.00–0.02 | |||||||||||
| Hedman–Lilleberg | 0:350.03–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.01 | 0:310.03–0.00 | |||||||||||
| McDonagh–Lilleberg | 0:480.00–0.01 | 0:400.08–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Cernak–D'Astous | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Moser–Lilleberg | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 27 | 27:11 | 1:00 | 1:29 | 8 | 3 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 20 | 22:46 | 1:08 | 3:18 | 3 | 4 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 22 | 22:07 | 1:00 | 2:11 | 3 | 3 |
 Cole HutsonWSH | 27 | 21:03 | 0:47 | 1:59 | 2 | 1 |
 John CarlsonTBL | 19 | 20:35 | 1:05 | 2:37 | 1 | 3 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 26 | 20:34 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 0 | 2 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 19 | 20:32 | 1:05 | 2:51 | 3 | 2 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 22 | 19:23 | 0:53 | 1:26 | 2 | 5 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH | 22 | 18:34 | 0:51 | 1:23 | 4 | 2 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 21 | 18:18 | 0:52 | 2:05 | 3 | 1 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 23 | 18:11 | 0:47 | 1:40 | 2 | 4 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 17 | 18:02 | 1:04 | 1:47 | 5 | 0 |
 Alex TuchWSH | 22 | 17:53 | 0:49 | 1:38 | 1 | 2 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 22 | 17:49 | 0:49 | 1:12 | 3 | 4 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 24 | 17:42 | 0:44 | 1:45 | 1 | 5 |
 Timothy LiljegrenWSH | 22 | 17:11 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 0 | 4 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 18 | 15:52 | 0:53 | 1:33 | 1 | 2 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 19 | 15:47 | 0:50 | 1:59 | 2 | 1 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 21 | 15:25 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 4 | 1 |
 Vincent DesharnaisWSH | 21 | 15:25 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 0 | 3 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 17 | 15:21 | 0:54 | 1:38 | 2 | 4 |
 Boone JennerWSH | 18 | 14:57 | 0:50 | 1:22 | 0 | 3 |
 Jordan KyrouWSH | 17 | 14:45 | 0:52 | 1:19 | 3 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 21 | 14:27 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 16 | 14:22 | 0:54 | 1:32 | 1 | 3 |
 Ryan LeonardWSH | 17 | 14:10 | 0:50 | 1:48 | 3 | 0 |
 Ilya MikheyevTBL | 18 | 13:57 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 2 | 1 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 16 | 13:47 | 0:52 | 1:30 | 2 | 1 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 19 | 13:34 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 0 | 2 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 16 | 13:34 | 0:51 | 1:52 | 7 | 0 |
 Justin SourdifWSH | 17 | 12:24 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 0 | 0 |
 Anthony BeauvillierWSH | 17 | 11:37 | 0:41 | 1:03 | 0 | 2 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 15 | 10:30 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 1 | 0 |
 Ilya ProtasWSH | 12 | 9:55 | 0:50 | 1:44 | 2 | 2 |
 Conor GeekieTBL | 13 | 9:10 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 4 | 0 |
 Jeffrey VielTBL | 11 | 7:34 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 4 | 0 |