Sat, Nov 6, 2010·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 67% of the time.
24%
8%
11%
57%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26:35 | 0.01 | 69.1% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:31 | 0.10 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:48 | 0.04 | 67.3% | +48.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 21:28 | 0.63 | 53.8% | +64.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:10 | 0.04 | 71.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.07 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:57 | 0.14 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:54 | 0.30 | 53.6% | +48.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:37 | 0.05 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:51 | 0.18 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:50 | 0.27 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:08 | 0.03 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:43 | 0.25 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:13 | 0.00 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:29 | 0.26 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:47 | 0.13 | 56.6% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:58 | 0.08 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:02 | 0.03 | 35.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 1.80 | −0.2 | 64:26 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 29:16 | 0.02 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27:05 | 0.03 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 24:44 | 0.05 | 26.0% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:29 | 0.10 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:56 | 0.07 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:48 | 0.23 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.11 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:00 | 0.09 | 76.7% | +34.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:42 | 0.14 | 72.4% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.31 | 72.8% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:28 | 0.08 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.21 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:42 | 0.18 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 0.09 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.01 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:21 | 0.00 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:39 | 0.06 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:11 | 0.00 | 33.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 2.61 | +0.6 | 65:00 |