Sat, Nov 12, 2011·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Dallas Stars 2, Detroit Red Wings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 53% of the time.
37%
10%
9%
44%
DET winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 22:23 | 0.04 | 37.0% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:03 | 0.08 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:24 | 0.08 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:55 | 0.02 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:16 | 0.06 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:02 | 0.01 | 38.5% | +22.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:55 | 0.79 | 61.3% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.06 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:42 | 0.02 | 79.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:26 | 0.40 | 39.9% | +22.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 16:21 | 0.18 | 39.7% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:18 | 0.22 | 62.5% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:47 | 0.25 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:23 | 0.14 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.09 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:38 | 0.00 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:39 | 0.02 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:30 | 0.09 | 31.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 40 | 35 | 5 | .875 | 2.43 | −2.6 | 60:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:38 | 0.02 | 63.6% | +18.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 21:48 | 0.05 | 75.4% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 21:14 | 0.10 | 39.7% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 19:26 | 0.16 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:17 | 0.07 | 38.2% | +20.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 18:29 | 0.38 | 47.7% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 18:16 | 0.21 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:57 | 0.10 | 51.1% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 16:54 | 0.21 | 46.5% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:50 | 0.02 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:18 | 0.04 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:06 | 0.00 | 51.0% | +18.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:40 | 0.29 | 54.6% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:57 | 0.30 | 47.7% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.12 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:44 | 0.00 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:52 | 0.33 | 65.7% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:45 | 0.03 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.55 | +0.6 | 60:00 |