Fri, Dec 2, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Detroit Red Wings 4, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 73% of the time.
19%
8%
65%
BUF winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:29 | 0.03 | 52.4% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:28 | 0.17 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:17 | 0.19 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:40 | 0.43 | 63.5% | +10.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:03 | 0.05 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:02 | 0.03 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:15 | 0.44 | 65.2% | +10.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:00 | 0.62 | 44.4% | +14.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16:08 | 0.43 | 41.8% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:42 | 0.15 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:17 | 0.05 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.07 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.01 | 48.3% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.08 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:39 | 0.15 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 11:31 | 0.10 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:02 | 0.58 | 91.8% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:05 | 0.08 | 67.8% | +15.6 |
| W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 2.22 | +1.2 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 28:39 | 0.07 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:39 | 0.06 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:26 | 0.03 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:59 | 0.32 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:14 | 0.33 | 55.9% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:40 | 0.03 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.01 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:43 | 0.32 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.24 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:49 | 0.00 | 56.8% | +2.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:06 | 0.11 | 62.3% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:39 | 0.22 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:20 | 0.04 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:10 | 0.18 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:03 | 0.07 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:32 | 0.19 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:51 | 0.01 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:38 | 0.00 | 55.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 3.07 | +0.1 | 59:40 |